Sterlin, ge\u00e7en haftaki \u015fahin Federal Rezerv faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ABD ile Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmesinin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesiyle pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,17 geriledi. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck merkez bankalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. GBP\/USD, daha \u00f6nce 1,3400 seviyesine dokunduktan sonra 1,3371\u2019de i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. <\/p>\n
Parite, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc 1,1335 b\u00f6lgesinden gelen tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fini uzatamad\u0131; s\u00f6z konusu seviye 30 Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck d\u00fczeye i\u015faret ederken, haftan\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015flar yeniden devreye girdi. Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 1,3375 civar\u0131nda dalgalanan parite, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,15 ekside seyretti. Fiyatlaman\u0131n 1,3400 alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve daha geni\u015f momentumun 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda \u201cay\u0131\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc korumas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda GBP\/USD paritesinde s\u00fcregelen bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131ya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Fed\u2019in \u015fahin faiz duru\u015fu faiz fark\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fleterek ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 Sterlin\u2019e k\u0131yasla \u00e7ok daha cazip hale getiriyor. Spot fiyatlar\u0131n kritik 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na inmi\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumunun h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, benzer makroekonomik bask\u0131lar alt\u0131nda GBP\/USD\u2019nin 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilemesi, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman takip eden otuz g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde ilave %2 ila %3\u2019l\u00fck bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle sonu\u00e7lan\u0131yor. Son piyasa verileri, ticari olmayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar aras\u0131ndaki k\u0131sa pozisyonlarda dikkat \u00e7ekici bir \u015fekilde %12 art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; bu da kurumsal duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde bozuldu\u011funu teyit ediyor. Bu istatistiksel e\u011filim, mevcut ko\u015fullarda sterlin al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu trendden faydalanmak i\u00e7in opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n vadesi ekim ay\u0131 sonuna denk gelen, paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Alternatif olarak, ay\u0131 put spread stratejileri i\u015flem maliyetlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken 1,3200 seviyesine do\u011fru bir hareketi hedeflemeye devam etmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. Vadeli i\u015flemler ve CFD yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in ise 1,3400 diren\u00e7 seviyesine do\u011fru olu\u015fabilecek k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon denenmesini uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu sterlini s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor: GBP\/USD 1,3400 alt\u0131nda ay\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc korurken k\u0131sa pozisyonlar %12 artt\u0131. 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama alt\u0131, 30 g\u00fcnde %2-3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riskini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t