USD\/JPY pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckselerek, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc reddin (uzun \u00fcst fitil) ve 157,52 Fibonacci bariyeri yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 bo\u011fa tuza\u011f\u0131n\u0131n verdi\u011fi ilk negatif sinyali ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131ld\u0131. Tepki al\u0131m\u0131 157,52 seviyesini test etti ve k\u0131rd\u0131. Bu seviye, 160,39\/152,88 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f baca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %61,8 d\u00fczeltmesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor ve 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama (30DMA) ile \u00e7ak\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 158,40\u2019taki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamaya (200DMA) do\u011fru yeniden bir atak alan\u0131 a\u00e7abilir; yukar\u0131da 158,05 ve 158,62 seviyeleri de ek diren\u00e7 olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00f6stergeler iyile\u015fiyor: RSI n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, 10DMA ve 20DMA y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimli bir dizilime ge\u00e7ti; g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm haftal\u0131k \u201cbullish engulfing\u201d (yutan bo\u011fa) formasyonuyla da destekleniyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesindeki stokastik okumalar ve 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck momentumun h\u00e2l\u00e2 negatif b\u00f6lgede kalmas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fte zaman zaman r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n tersine d\u00f6nebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da, 20DMA ile desteklenen %50 d\u00fczeltme seviyesi 156,64 destek konumuna d\u00f6nd\u00fc; ayr\u0131ca 157,00, 155,75 ve 155,28 seviyeleri izleniyor. Yen, BOJ\u2019un ge\u00e7en haftaki g\u00fcvercin faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2023\u2019ten bu yana ilk faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sergiledi\u011fi \u015fahin duru\u015f ve olas\u0131 bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne i\u015faret eden y\u00f6nlendirmesi sonras\u0131 zay\u0131f seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, bo\u011falar\u0131n yeniden kontrol\u00fc ele almas\u0131yla birlikte \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/JPY\u2019de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin s\u00fcrmesine haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce 156,64\u2019teki kritik destek seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve \u015fimdi 157,52\u2019deki \u00f6nemli Fibonacci bariyerini test ediyor. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde temiz bir k\u0131r\u0131lma g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi h\u00e2linde, 158,40\u2019taki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamaya do\u011fru yolun a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekleyen veriler, Japon Yeni\u2019nin son birka\u00e7 haftada ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck teknik g\u00f6stergeler daha destekleyici bir yap\u0131ya d\u00f6n\u00fcyor; G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 50 n\u00f6tr e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerine yeniden y\u00fckseldi. Ayr\u0131ca g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir haftal\u0131k \u201cbullish engulfing\u201d formasyonu, al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n
Opsiyon taraf\u0131nda, 158,40\u2013158,62 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini hedefleyen k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n tercih edilmesini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yoruz. Risk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in, paritenin 156,64\u2019teki kilit deste\u011fin alt\u0131na geri d\u00f6nmesi durumunda zarar-kes tetikleyicileri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 veya uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesindeki stokastik sinyaller k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli geri \u00e7ekilmelere i\u015faret etse de, bask\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi, BOJ\u2019un son g\u00fcvercin faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Yeni desteklemekte yetersiz kalmas\u0131yla temelde de g\u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu ve 2023\u2019ten bu yana ilk kez faizi art\u0131rma karar\u0131, dolar\u0131 yeniden canland\u0131rd\u0131. Getiri fark\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda dolar uzun (long-dollar) t\u00fcrev stratejilerini daha cazip h\u00e2le getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/JPY\u2019de s\u00fcrpriz d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f: 157,52 Fibonacci\/30DMA \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131, bo\u011falar kontrol\u00fc ald\u0131. Hedef 158,40\u2013158,62 (200DMA). RSI toparlan\u0131yor; stokastik a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m. 156,64 alt\u0131 stop. BOJ g\u00fcvercin, Fed \u015fahin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49957,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68652","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t