Dow Jones vadeli i\u015flemleri Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde %0,60 y\u00fckselerek 52.390 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. S&P 500 vadeli i\u015flemleri %0,57 art\u0131\u015fla yakla\u015f\u0131k 7.760\u2019a, Nasdaq 100 vadeli i\u015flemleri ise %0,86 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 30.170 civar\u0131na t\u0131rmand\u0131. Hareket, ABD hisse vadeli i\u015flemlerinin d\u00fc\u015fen ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 takip etmesiyle birlikte geldi; piyasalar, yenilenen diplomatik giri\u015fimlerin Orta Do\u011fu gerilimini azalt\u0131p azaltmayaca\u011f\u0131na ve enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n daha istikrarl\u0131 hale gelip gelmeyece\u011fine odakland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Federal Rezerv\u2019in ge\u00e7en hafta 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 (son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk art\u0131\u015f\u0131) yapmas\u0131 ve ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyali vermesinin ard\u0131ndan politika riskleri g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam etti. CME FedWatch arac\u0131ndaki fiyatlama, Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %53,1 olarak g\u00f6sterdi; bu oran bir hafta \u00f6nce %43,5 seviyesindeydi. Bu arada Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, New York\u2019taki BM Genel Kurulu\u2019nda \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeye muhtemelen a\u00e7\u0131k olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi ve ayr\u0131ca \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping ile bir zirve ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi planlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn ABD hisse senedi vadeli i\u015flemlerinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; Dow Jones 52.390 seviyesine i\u015faret ederken, teknoloji a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Nasdaq yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,86 y\u00fckseliyor. Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme, ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemeden besleniyor. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bir miktar rahatlama sa\u011flamas\u0131yla petrol fiyat\u0131 son d\u00f6nemde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 71 dolara do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekildi. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, piyasa duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki bu k\u0131sa vadeli iyile\u015fmeden yararlanmak i\u00e7in geni\u015f endekslerde y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentili al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeli.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte, Ba\u015fkan Trump ile \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ani fiyat hareketlerini tetikleyebilece\u011fi unutulmamal\u0131. Tarihsel olarak bu \u00f6l\u00e7ekte diplomatik zirveler y\u00fcksek volatiliteyi beraberinde getirir; bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ani y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in koruyucu sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 veya straddle stratejilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Jeopolitik m\u00fczakerelerin gerginle\u015fti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde s\u0131kl\u0131kla s\u0131\u00e7rama yapan CBOE Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX) yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kritik olacak.<\/p>\n
\u00d6zellikle CME FedWatch arac\u0131n\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %53,1\u2019e y\u00fckseltmesiyle, Federal Rezerv kaynakl\u0131 bask\u0131y\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edemeyiz. Daha y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131 \u015firket k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131k marjlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fundan, endeks vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa pozisyonlar veya faize duyarl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nerilir. Tarihsel olarak Fed \u015fahin bir d\u00f6ng\u00fcye girdi\u011finde, hisse piyasalar\u0131nda sert geri \u00e7ekilmeler g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; bu da savunmac\u0131 opsiyon stratejilerini \u015fu a\u015famada daha de\u011ferli k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Mevcut enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir s\u00fcr\u00fckleyicisi ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 oldu\u011fundan, enerji t\u00fcrevleri yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Diplomatik \u00e7abalar\u0131n sekteye u\u011framas\u0131 ve WTI ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn yeniden 80 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 halinde, hisse vadeli i\u015flemlerinde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f bekliyoruz. Pozisyon b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc muhafazak\u00e2r kalmal\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, yenilenen enerji \u015foklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 genel hisse portf\u00f6ylerini korumak i\u00e7in ham petrol opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 hedge ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullanabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrol gerilerken ABD vadeli endeksleri y\u00fckseldi: Dow 52.390, S&P 7.760, Nasdaq 30.170. G\u00f6zler Orta Do\u011fu diplomasisi ve Fed\u2019de; Ekim\u2019de ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %53,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Trump-\u015ei zirvesi volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50051,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t