AUD\/USD, haftay\u0131 %0,21 art\u0131da kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken parite 0,7124 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc zirvelerine yak\u0131n seyrini korudu. Fiyat hareketi 15 Haziran\u2019daki 0,7088 tepesini a\u015farak bu seviyeyi k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m sonras\u0131 deste\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc; ard\u0131ndan 0,7100\u2019un da \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirve olan 0,7136\u2019ya ula\u015ft\u0131 ve sonras\u0131nda yeniden yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7120\u2019ye gev\u015fedi.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) negatif b\u00f6lgede kalmaya devam ediyor ancak yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nmeye yak\u0131n. Piyasalar ise Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) 29 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu haftan\u0131n zirvesi 0,7168\u2019in \u00fczerindeki bir hareket 0,7200 seviyesini g\u00fcndeme getirirken, yukar\u0131da ilave diren\u00e7ler 0,7237 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,7277\u2019de izleniyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc senaryoda ise 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (SMA) bulundu\u011fu 0,7084\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,7078\u2019i \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r; devam\u0131nda 0,7075 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi 0,7012 takip edilebilir. Faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6tesinde AUD i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan s\u00fcr\u00fckleyiciler aras\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc, yurt i\u00e7i enflasyon ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi ile 2021 verilerine g\u00f6re y\u0131ll\u0131k 118 milyar dolar ile Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat kalemi olan demir cevheri yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD\u2019nin kritik 0,7100 bariyerini k\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 0,7124 civar\u0131nda tutunmas\u0131yla, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki haftal\u0131k d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir e\u011filime a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Al\u0131c\u0131lar, bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in 0,7200 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen uzun al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 veya bo\u011fa call spread\u2019leri kurgulamay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir. Bu strateji, parite geri \u00e7ekilse dahi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken yukar\u0131 potansiyelden faydalanmam\u0131za olanak tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
29 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki RBA faiz karar\u0131, bu i\u015flem fikri i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir temel kataliz\u00f6r niteli\u011finde. Tarihsel olarak faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yerel para birimini destekler; ayr\u0131ca Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde 5,6 milyar Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131, temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn destekleyici oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Buna ek olarak k\u00fcresel piyasalardan gelen istikrarl\u0131 talep, Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 getiri arayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip k\u0131lmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
Risk y\u00f6netimi kapsam\u0131nda, uzun vadeli (futures) pozisyonlarda koruyucu zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyelerinin 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na, yani 0,7084 seviyesinin alt\u0131na yerle\u015ftirilmesi uygun olacakt\u0131r. 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama olan 0,7078\u2019in alt\u0131na inilmesi trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcne i\u015faret ederek y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f sinyali \u00fcretebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k piyasa 0,7168\u2019in \u00fczerine ta\u015farsa, 0,7237 hedefi do\u011frultusunda pozisyonlar\u0131n kademeli art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Emtia taraf\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; \u00f6zellikle demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bu ay metrik ton ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar \u00e7evresinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek bulmas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. \u0130malat PMI\u2019\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde 50,3 civar\u0131nda dengelendi\u011fi \u00c7in\u2019den gelebilecek daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi talebi, AUD \u00fczerinde al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tutabilir. Eyl\u00fcl sonundaki oynakl\u0131k \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131, potansiyel bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131ma \u00f6nceden tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskle kat\u0131l\u0131m imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Kritik e\u015fik a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131: AUD\/USD 0,7100 \u00fczeri tutunup haftay\u0131 %+0,21 art\u0131da kapat\u0131yor. RSI toparlanma sinyali verirken RBA\u2019n\u0131n 29 Eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlan\u0131yor; hedef 0,7200, stop 0,7084.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50028,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t