Baker Hughes, ABD petrol sondaj kulesi say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 452 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131; beklentiler 451 seviyesindeydi. G\u00fcncelleme, kule say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tahminlerin 1 adet \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
En son Baker Hughes petrol sondaj kulesi say\u0131s\u0131 452 ile, beklenen 451\u2019in hafif \u00fczerinde geldi. Bu durum, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fclen 500+ seviyelerine k\u0131yasla ABD\u2019li \u015feyl \u00fcreticilerinin olduk\u00e7a disiplinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etse de, yurti\u00e7i \u00fcretimin son derece dayan\u0131kl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. T\u00fcrev piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 bu s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 pozitif s\u00fcrprizi, baz\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc beklentilerin umdu\u011fu kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 bir arz rahatlamas\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair bir sinyal olarak okumal\u0131.<\/p>\n
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 70 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, piyasa istikrarl\u0131 ABD arz\u0131 ile zay\u0131f k\u00fcresel talep aras\u0131nda denge ar\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin son k\u00fcresel g\u00fcmr\u00fck verileri, \u00c7in\u2019in ham petrol ithalat\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda yakla\u015f\u0131k %7\u2019ye yak\u0131n geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu makro zemin, ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan olu\u015fturuyor ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda fiyatlar\u0131n orta 70 dolar band\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/p>\n
Bu dar i\u015flem band\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n iron condor veya credit spread gibi prim toplama stratejilerine odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Vadeli i\u015flemler taraf\u0131nda ise 74-75 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 seviyelerine yak\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015flerin sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde de\u011ferlendirilmesi, olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek bir kurulum olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. WTI kontratlar\u0131ndaki ima edilen volatiliteyi de izlemek gerekiyor; volatilitenin g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131, uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in koruyucu put opsiyonlar\u0131yla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli koruma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunuyor.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak kule say\u0131s\u0131 bu \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeler civar\u0131nda istikrar kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 genellikle k\u0131r\u0131lma yerine yatay konsolidasyona e\u011filim g\u00f6steriyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ekim ay\u0131na kadar enerji kompleksinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatiliteyle kademeli bir seyir d\u00f6nemine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Sezonsal rafineri bak\u0131m d\u00f6neminin yurti\u00e7i ham petrol talebini azaltmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte pozisyon boyutlar\u0131n\u0131n temkinli tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" S\u00fcrpriz ama k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck: Baker Hughes\u2019a g\u00f6re ABD petrol kulesi 452 (beklenti 451). \u015eeyl \u00fcretimi dayan\u0131kl\u0131; WTI 70$ civar\u0131nda. Zay\u0131f talep tavan, 74-75$ diren\u00e7te sat\u0131\u015f; opsiyonda prim toplama \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50062,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68589","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t