{"id":68581,"date":"2026-09-18T21:51:29","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T21:51:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fedin-sikilastirma-gorunumunun-dolari-desteklemesiyle-usd-jpy-yukseliyor-bojun-31-yilin-en-yuksek-faiz-artisina-ragmen\/"},"modified":"2026-09-18T21:51:29","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T21:51:29","slug":"fedin-sikilastirma-gorunumunun-dolari-desteklemesiyle-usd-jpy-yukseliyor-bojun-31-yilin-en-yuksek-faiz-artisina-ragmen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fedin-sikilastirma-gorunumunun-dolari-desteklemesiyle-usd-jpy-yukseliyor-bojun-31-yilin-en-yuksek-faiz-artisina-ragmen\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn dolar\u0131 desteklemesiyle USD\/JPY y\u00fckseliyor; BoJ\u2019un 31 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda %0,63 y\u00fckselerek 156,95 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i 158,06 ile zirve g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fckten sonra geri \u00e7ekildi. Hareket, Japon Yeni\u2019nin, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) politika faizini 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %1\u2019den %1,25\u2019e y\u00fckseltmesine ra\u011fmen zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla geldi. Bu seviye 31 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi olurken, karar 7\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 2 oyla al\u0131nd\u0131; Toichiro Asada ve Ayano Sato kar\u015f\u0131 oy kulland\u0131. Japonya\u2019n\u0131n ulusal T\u00dcFE\u2019si A\u011fustos\u2019ta de\u011fi\u015fmedi ve \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon BoJ\u2019un y\u0131ll\u0131k %2 hedefinin alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ederek daha h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentilerini t\u00f6rp\u00fcledi.<\/p>\n

Dolar, Fed\u2019in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterge faizini 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %3,75\u2013%4 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7ekmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. Bu, 2023\u2019ten bu yana ilk art\u0131\u015f olurken, CME FedWatch arac\u0131 Ekim\u2019de ek 25 baz puan art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesi yakla\u015f\u0131k %40\u2019tan %55 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseltti. ABD tahvil getirileri yeniden fiyatlamay\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131; 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri %4,98\u2019e yak\u0131n seyrederken Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc %5,04 zirvesine yak\u0131n kald\u0131. Dolar Endeksi 100,50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde, yakla\u015f\u0131k yedi haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Teknik tarafta USD\/JPY 156,98 seviyesindeydi; 100 saatlik SMA 155,60\u2019\u0131n ve 200 saatlik SMA 154,73\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde bulunurken RSI (14) yakla\u015f\u0131k 51 seviyesindeydi. Diren\u00e7 158,00 civar\u0131nda i\u015faretlenirken, destek 156,98 ve 156,50\u2019de; ard\u0131ndan 155,60, 155,50 ve 154,73 seviyelerinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n

Getiri Farklar\u0131n\u0131n S\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011fi F\u0131rsatlar<\/h3>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ABD ile Japonya aras\u0131ndaki geni\u015fleyen getiri fark\u0131ndan t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yararlanabilece\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. BoJ\u2019un faizi tarihi bir ad\u0131mla %1,25\u2019e y\u00fckseltmesine ra\u011fmen, piyasalar\u0131n Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funa odaklanmas\u0131yla Japon Yeni zay\u0131flamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisinin yeniden %4,98\u2019e do\u011fru t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla temel momentum belirgin \u015fekilde ABD Dolar\u0131 lehine.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n

Bu trendden yararlanmak i\u00e7in, 158,00 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerine hedeflenen kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na (strike) sahip k\u0131sa vadeli USD\/JPY al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131na odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. CFTC\u2019nin taahh\u00fct pozisyonlar\u0131 (Commitment of Traders) verileri, Yen\u2019de spek\u00fclatif net-k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131n tarihsel olarak y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu durum, kilit destek seviyeleri korundu\u011funda h\u0131zl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketleri s\u0131kl\u0131kla tetikler. Bu pozisyonlanma, Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 100,50 \u00fczerinde sa\u011flam seyriyle de destekleniyor ve dolar\u0131n genel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc teyit ediyor.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, uzun vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (futures) pozisyonlar\u0131nda 155,60\u2019taki 100 saatlik basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na koruyucu zarar-kes (stop-loss) konulmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. Parite daha da gerilerse, 154,73\u2019teki 200 saatlik hareketli ortalama, y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc korumak ad\u0131na \u201cson savunma hatt\u0131\u201d olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019\u0131n 51\u2019e gerilemesiyle parite art\u0131k a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde de\u011fil; bu da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc stratejiler i\u00e7in daha temiz bir giri\u015f penceresi sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY 156,95\u2019e t\u0131rman\u0131rken BoJ\u2019un %1,25\u2019lik \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bile yeni g\u00fc\u00e7lendiremedi! Fed\u2019in \u015fahin ad\u0131m\u0131, 10Y %4,98 ve DXY 100,50 \u00fcst\u00fcyle y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor; 158 diren\u00e7, 155,60 stop kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t