{"id":68568,"date":"2026-09-18T14:51:44","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T14:51:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fedin-sahin-patikasi-dolari-guclendirip-petrolu-desteklerken-altin-4-400-dolardan-geri-cekildi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-18T14:51:44","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T14:51:44","slug":"fedin-sahin-patikasi-dolari-guclendirip-petrolu-desteklerken-altin-4-400-dolardan-geri-cekildi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fedin-sahin-patikasi-dolari-guclendirip-petrolu-desteklerken-altin-4-400-dolardan-geri-cekildi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019in \u015fahin patikas\u0131 dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirip petrol\u00fc desteklerken alt\u0131n 4.400 dolardan geri \u00e7ekildi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 4.400 dolara yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekildi. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyip ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerini y\u00fcksek tutarken, petroldeki toparlanma da de\u011ferli metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. XAU\/USD, Fed\u2019in 2023\u2019ten bu yana ilk kez faizi 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %3,75\u2013%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltti\u011fi oynak bir haftan\u0131n ard\u0131ndan g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,29 art\u0131\u015fla 4.354 dolar civar\u0131nda seyretti. Alt\u0131n 4.235 dolar ile bir ay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine inerken, ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 100,50 civar\u0131nda, yedi haftan\u0131n zirvelerine yak\u0131n seyretti; Suudi ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yeniden y\u00f6nlendirilmesine ve Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131ndaki onar\u0131mlara ili\u015fkin haberlerle petrol\u00fcn gerilemesi sonras\u0131 \u00f6nceki bask\u0131 bir miktar hafifledi.<\/p>\n

Fed, %2 enflasyon hedefini yineledi ve noktasal grafik (dot plot), 18 yetkiliden 16\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha bekledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi; medyan politika faizi tahmini 2026 ve 2027 i\u00e7in %4,1 oldu. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re piyasalar Ekim ay\u0131nda hamle olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %55 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. West Texas Intermediate, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz trafi\u011fine y\u00f6nelik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n arz haberlerini dengelemesiyle 94,63 dolardan toparlanarak 97,20 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 4,99 d\u00fczeyinde ve 2007\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen %5,04 zirvesine yak\u0131n. Teknik olarak XAU\/USD, 4.422 dolardaki 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda; MACD negatif, ADX 16 ve RSI 51 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7ler 4.422, 4.500 ve 4.654 dolar; destekler 4.189 ve 4.000 dolar seviyelerinde. Gelecek haftan\u0131n veri takvimi sakin olsa da, Fed yetkililerinin konu\u015fmalar\u0131 ve Reuters\u2019\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere Trump\u2019\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc BM\u2019de K\u00f6rfez \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Konseyi yetkilileriyle yapaca\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa Vadeli G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 haftada yatay bantta, hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filimli bir piyasaya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Alt\u0131n 4.354 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamada (4.422 dolar) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor; bu da k\u0131sa vadede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Ortalama Y\u00f6n Endeksi\u2019nin (ADX) 16 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede olmas\u0131, trend g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn zay\u0131f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi\u011finden, prim toplamak amac\u0131yla iron condor gibi bant stratejilerinin de\u011ferlendirilmesini uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in faizi %3,75\u2013%4,00 band\u0131na y\u00fckselten son ad\u0131m\u0131, de\u011ferli metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmaya devam edecektir. Tarihsel olarak ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi kritik psikolojik e\u015fiklere yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda\u2014halen 4,99 seviyesinde\u2014getiri \u00fcretmeyen varl\u0131klarda (alt\u0131n gibi) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sat\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor. Y\u00fcksek getiriler s\u00fcrd\u00fck\u00e7e 4.189 dolar civar\u0131ndaki Bollinger alt band\u0131n\u0131 hedeflemek i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 veya bear put spread kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Arz kesintileri nedeniyle 97,20 dolar civar\u0131nda seyreden petrol fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon beklentilerini ve tahvil faizlerini inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcksek tutuyor. Gelecek hafta Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Genel Kurulu kulislerinde yap\u0131lacak diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; jeopolitik tansiyonda olas\u0131 bir yumu\u015fama petrol\u00fc so\u011futabilir. Enerji kaynakl\u0131 bask\u0131lar azalmaya ba\u015flarsa, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar olas\u0131 bir ge\u00e7 Ekim toparlanmas\u0131na pozisyon almak i\u00e7in call calendar spread\u2019lere ge\u00e7i\u015f yapabilir.<\/p>\n

Uzun Vadeli Yap\u0131sal Destek<\/h3>\n

Yak\u0131n vadeli oynakl\u0131\u011fa ra\u011fmen, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in yap\u0131sal y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc merkez bankas\u0131 talebiyle desteklenmeye devam ediyor. Tarihsel veriler, \u00fclkelerin rezervlerini \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmesiyle merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n net al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n son y\u0131llarda istikrarl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde 1.000 ton e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l i\u00e7in 4.000 dolardaki ana yatay deste\u011fe do\u011fru daha derin d\u00fczeltmelerin, uzun vadeli (uzun vadeli vadeli) call opsiyon biriktirmek i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda tansiyon y\u00fckseliyor: Fed\u2019in \u015fahin faizi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc DXY ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131kta %4,99 getiri 4.400\u2019den geri \u00e7ekti. 4.422 diren\u00e7, 4.189\/4.000 destek; bant stratejileri g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t