Yen, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen geni\u015f \u00e7apta zay\u0131flad\u0131; iki politika yap\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n muhalefet ederek de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmamas\u0131n\u0131 savunmas\u0131, ilerleyen s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131na ili\u015fkin soru i\u015faretlerini art\u0131rd\u0131. Bu tablo, \u015fahin pozisyonlarda geri \u00e7ekilmeyi tetiklerken USD\/JPY Asya\u2019da yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce yatay seyretti. Teknik seviyeler g\u00fcndemde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor: diren\u00e7 157,50 (R1) ard\u0131ndan 160,50 (R2) ve daha yukar\u0131da 162,80 (R3) seviyelerinde izleniyor; destekler ise 155,00 (S1), 152,10 (S2) ve 149,40 (S3). Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca A\u011fustos perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve ABD sanayi \u00fcretimini; Fed Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Bowman ile Kansas City Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Schmid\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, \u00c7in\u2019de PBoC Pazartesi Asya seans\u0131nda politika ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 belirleyecek.<\/p>\n\n
ABD hisseleri, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemenin s\u00fcrmesiyle y\u00fckseldi; Nvidia %2,5 artt\u0131 ve OpenAI \u201cbeklenmedik veya endi\u015fe verici\u201d model davran\u0131\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin alt\u0131 ek vaka bildirdi. Alt\u0131n, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fine ara vermesiyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi; fiyat hareketi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 4.275 (S1) ve 3.960 (S2), ard\u0131ndan 3.600 (S3) seviyeleriyle; yukar\u0131da ise 4.550 (R1), 4.890 (R2) ve 5.245 (R3) diren\u00e7leriyle \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor. Alt\u0131n ayr\u0131ca \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trend \u00e7izgisini de k\u0131rarak, k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filimi yatay bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, BoJ\u2019un son faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kurum i\u00e7indeki derin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymas\u0131 nedeniyle JPY paritelerinde s\u00fcregelen oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. \u0130ki politika yap\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n muhalefetiyle piyasadaki \u015fahin beklentiler zay\u0131flad\u0131 ve USD\/JPY paritesi 157,50 direncine do\u011fru yeniden t\u0131rmand\u0131. BoJ\u2019un s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma e\u011filimindeki ani de\u011fi\u015fimlere kar\u015f\u0131 korunurken USD\/JPY\u2019de sert hareketleri yakalamak i\u00e7in straddle veya strangle gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Hisse t\u00fcrevleri taraf\u0131nda, Nvidia ve di\u011fer teknoloji devlerinin reg\u00fclasyon bask\u0131s\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 koyarken kaydetti\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131n da deste\u011fiyle, yapay zek\u00e2 temal\u0131 teknoloji hisselerinde temkinli iyimserlik i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Tarihsel veriler, Nvidia hissesinin 2023 ve 2024 boyunca %200\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; mevcut diren\u00e7li g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ise s\u00fcregelen reg\u00fclasyon tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesinin korundu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yar\u0131 iletken ve yapay zek\u00e2 endekslerinde uzun (long) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirirken, beklenmedik makro \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 geni\u015f endekslerde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131yla hedge etmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 dalgalan\u0131rken ve alt\u0131n kritik destek b\u00f6lgeleri yak\u0131n\u0131nda tutunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, emtia t\u00fcrevleri piyasas\u0131n\u0131n da yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Jeopolitik gerilimler petrol arz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lgan tutarken, enerji vadeli i\u015flemlerinde s\u0131k\u0131 stop-loss seviyeleriyle i\u015flem yapmak h\u0131zl\u0131 fiyat sal\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik olacak. \u00d6te yandan ABD dolar\u0131ndaki momentumun daha da zay\u0131flamas\u0131 halinde, alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek bulmas\u0131n\u0131 ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrine yeniden d\u00f6nmesini bekliyoruz; bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda portf\u00f6y \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan alt\u0131n al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip k\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" BoJ faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen yen zay\u0131f: i\u00e7 muhalefet s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 sorgulatt\u0131, USD\/JPY 157,50\u2019ye t\u0131rman\u0131yor. ABD hisseleri y\u00fckseldi, petrol geriledi. Alt\u0131n yatay. Kritik seviyeler ve opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50081,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t