Rupi, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc USD\/INR\u2019nin bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 96,10 ile yedi haftay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n zirveden geri \u00e7ekilerek 95,75 civar\u0131na gev\u015femesinin ard\u0131ndan daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Petrolde ve ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerindeki hareketin duraklamas\u0131 pariteyi destekledi. 21 Eyl\u00fcl vadeli MCX ham petrol\u00fc 9.688 rupi civar\u0131nda seyrederken, haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 10.238 rupiye g\u00f6re gerileyerek enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc ithalatla kar\u015f\u0131layan ekonomi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Deutsche Bank, East\u2011West boru hatt\u0131 kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Suudi tanker y\u00fcklemelerindeki art\u0131\u015f ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi dahil Orta Do\u011fu ihracat ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerin iyile\u015fti\u011fine i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Tahvil piyasalar\u0131 da sakinledi. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili getirisi, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 5,04 ile 19 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra haftan\u0131n dip seviyesine yak\u0131n 4,94 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. TD Securities, \u015fahin Fed fiyatlamas\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015felerinin getirileri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilecek unsurlar oldu\u011funu belirtti. Grafiklerde USD\/INR 95,7755\u2019teydi ve 20 periyotluk EMA olan 95,4582\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam etti; 95,46 civar\u0131nda destek ve 96,10\u2019da diren\u00e7 bulunuyor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 97,00 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki rekor b\u00f6lgeye dikkati yeniden \u00e7evirecek. Fed y\u0131lda sekiz planl\u0131 toplant\u0131da faizleri belirler ve tam istihdamla birlikte %2 enflasyonu hedefler.<\/p>\n
USD\/INR\u2019nin 96,10\u2019daki son zirvesinden 95,75\u2019e do\u011fru so\u011fumas\u0131yla, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in cazip bir al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerindeki gev\u015feme Hint rupisine k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli nefes ald\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olsa da, dolar\u0131n temel yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, 95,46\u2019daki kritik destek seviyesine yak\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmelerde USD\/INR vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda uzun pozisyon kademeli olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ithal enerjiye y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2014ham petrol ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n %80\u2019den fazlas\u0131n\u0131 yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan sat\u0131n almas\u0131\u2014petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaynakl\u0131 yerel para birimi rahatlamas\u0131n\u0131n genellikle ge\u00e7ici oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirileri Ekim 2023\u2019te %5,0\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, geli\u015fen \u00fclke para birimleri de benzer k\u0131sa toparlanmalar ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f, ard\u0131ndan dolar yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Mevcut ABD getirileri 4,94 civar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek seyrederken, rupideki olas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenme kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ften ziyade k\u0131sa vadeli bir d\u00fczeltme olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, 97,00\u2019a do\u011fru yeniden bir hareket beklentisinden faydalanmak amac\u0131yla 95,75 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call) opsiyonunu al\u0131p 96,50 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m opsiyonunu satarak bo\u011fa (bull) call spread stratejisinin uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 tercih ediyoruz. Bu strateji riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar ve Orta Do\u011fu arz endi\u015felerinin yeniden y\u00fckselmesi halinde ani piyasa dalgalanmalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 sermayeyi korur. Alternatif olarak, uzun vadeli kontrat ta\u015f\u0131yan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in 95,40 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri yerle\u015ftirmesi \u00f6nerilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Rupi, USD\/INR\u2019de 96,10\u2019dan 95,75\u2019e geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan petrol ve ABD tahvil getirilerindeki sakinle\u015fmeyle g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Teknikte 95,46 destek, 96,10 diren\u00e7; k\u0131r\u0131lma 97,00\u2019u g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68555","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t