{"id":54162,"date":"2026-09-18T06:51:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T06:51:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/daha-yumusak-abd-tahvil-getirileri-dolari-baskilarken-altin-sinirli-yukseldi-sahin-fed-yukselisi-sinirladi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-18T06:51:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T06:51:39","slug":"daha-yumusak-abd-tahvil-getirileri-dolari-baskilarken-altin-sinirli-yukseldi-sahin-fed-yukselisi-sinirladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/daha-yumusak-abd-tahvil-getirileri-dolari-baskilarken-altin-sinirli-yukseldi-sahin-fed-yukselisi-sinirladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Daha yumu\u015fak ABD tahvil getirileri dolar\u0131 bask\u0131larken alt\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi; \u015fahin Fed y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), ABD tahvil getirilerinin ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilmenin yak\u0131n vadeli enflasyon endi\u015felerini azaltmas\u0131yla \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvelerden gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan, Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda taze bir haftal\u0131k zirveye \u00e7\u0131karak ikinci g\u00fcnde de y\u00fckseldi. Bu durum ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na (USD) verilen deste\u011fi azaltt\u0131; ancak Federal Rezerv\u2019in (Fed) \u015fahin e\u011filimi para birimini desteklemeye devam etti ve getirisi olmayan metalde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Fed, Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 2023\u2019ten bu yana ilk kez faizleri y\u00fckseltme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oybirli\u011fiyle karar al\u0131rken, noktasal grafik (dot plot) bu y\u0131l bir ilave art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti; CME Group FedWatch verileri Ekim\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %54, Aral\u0131k\u2019ta ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %88 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131 olarak, \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda Togo bayrakl\u0131 bir tankeri vurdu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klarken, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump da \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flat\u0131p ba\u015flatmama konusunda karar a\u015famas\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan XAU\/USD, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama (EMA) olan 4.368 dolar civar\u0131nda duraksad\u0131; Fibonacci deste\u011finin \u00fczerinde tutunmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bask\u0131l\u0131 tutuyor. Fiyat, 4.320 dolardaki %50,0 geri \u00e7ekilme seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde bulunurken, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 49,52 ile n\u00f6tre yak\u0131n; Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama Iraksama (MACD) ise -19,60 ile negatif b\u00f6lgede kal\u0131yor. Diren\u00e7ler 4.408 dolardaki %38,2 geri \u00e7ekilme seviyesi ve ard\u0131ndan 4.368 dolar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, yukar\u0131da 4.516 dolar ve 4.692 dolardaki sal\u0131n\u0131m zirvesi izleniyor. Destek taraf\u0131nda 4.320 dolar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 4.232 ve 4.107 dolar seviyeleri bulunurken, 3.947 dolar daha derin bir taban olarak belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n

ABD Dolar\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Fed Politikas\u0131 Etkileri<\/h3>\n\n

Fed\u2019in yeniden \u015fahin bir duru\u015fa y\u00f6nelmesiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda (DXY) kal\u0131c\u0131 bir g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmas\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcrev i\u015flemcilerine \u00f6neriyoruz. CME FedWatch arac\u0131n\u0131n Aral\u0131k\u2019ta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %88 olarak fiyatlamas\u0131yla, faiz farklar\u0131ndaki daralma h\u0131zla tersine d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Tarihsel olarak, beklenmedik Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde Dolar Endeksi takip eden ay ortalama %4 y\u00fckseldi; bu da alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde muhtemelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir bask\u0131 olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n

Bununla birlikte Ortado\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan gerilimleri, \u00f6zellikle petrol sevkiyat\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tehditlerin birikmeye devam etti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresini yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. Y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131 tarihsel olarak enflasyonu besler; bu da Fed\u2019in \u015fahin arg\u00fcman\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek dolar\u0131n destek bulmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7ar. Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, jeopolitik panik ile y\u00fckselen faizlerin bu bile\u015fimi, ani piyasa dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in XAU\/USD\u2019de uzun volatilite stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n

Alt\u0131n i\u00e7in Teknik Analiz ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\n\n

Teknik olarak, fiyat\u0131n 4.368 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda zorlanmas\u0131 nedeniyle alt\u0131n i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filimin bask\u0131l\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. -19,60 seviyesindeki MACD gibi temel momentum g\u00f6stergeleri sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n h\u00e2len kontrol\u00fc elinde tuttu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. T\u00fcrev i\u015flemcileri, 4.408 dolara do\u011fru ge\u00e7ici y\u00fckseli\u015flerde k\u0131sa pozisyon kademelendirmeyi de\u011ferlendirebilir; 4.320 dolardaki deste\u011fin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 4.232 dolara kadar bir hedefleme \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n

Bununla birlikte, net bir y\u00f6n k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmeden \u00f6nce a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kald\u0131ra\u00e7tan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmas\u0131 ve temkinli olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurguluyoruz. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc sanayi \u00fcretimi verileri gibi yakla\u015fan ABD makroekonomik verileri, k\u0131sa vadeli dolar hareketine dair anl\u0131k ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 sa\u011flayacak. 4.368 ve 4.408 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgelerinin hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri belirlemek, son derece \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez bu piyasada sermayeyi korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, tahvil getirilerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle haftal\u0131k zirveye t\u0131rmansa da Fed\u2019in \u015fahin sinyalleri y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Kritik e\u015fikler 4.368\/4.408 diren\u00e7, 4.320 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 4.232 hedef; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski volatiliteyi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50121,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t