{"id":54149,"date":"2026-09-17T23:52:49","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T23:52:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/dolarin-zayiflamasi-ve-tahvil-getirilerindeki-dususun-fed-faiz-artisini-golgede-birakmasiyla-altin-100-gunluk-ortalamanin-uzerine-sicradi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T23:52:49","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T23:52:49","slug":"dolarin-zayiflamasi-ve-tahvil-getirilerindeki-dususun-fed-faiz-artisini-golgede-birakmasiyla-altin-100-gunluk-ortalamanin-uzerine-sicradi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dolarin-zayiflamasi-ve-tahvil-getirilerindeki-dususun-fed-faiz-artisini-golgede-birakmasiyla-altin-100-gunluk-ortalamanin-uzerine-sicradi\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek 4.361 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve ABD tahvil getirilerindeki zay\u0131flama ile dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) son s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla 4.320 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine ge\u00e7ti. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,16 gerilerken, ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) %0,12 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 100,22\u2019ye indi; buna paralel olarak ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri 7 baz puan gerileyerek %4,949\u2019a d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Fed, faizi 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %3,75\u2013%4 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltti ve noktasal grafik (dot plot) 2026 sonu itibar\u0131yla fed fon oran\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %4,10 seviyesine i\u015faret ediyor. Prime Terminal\u2019e g\u00f6re piyasalar, Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f daha ihtimalini %53 olarak fiyatlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

12 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de sona eren haftada ABD i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 206 binden 196 bine gerileyerek 208 bin beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc A\u011fustos Sanayi \u00dcretimi verisi ile birlikte Fed Guvern\u00f6r\u00fc Michelle Bowman\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n takip edilmesi bekleniyor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 4.400 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.450 ve 4.500 dolar; sonras\u0131nda 4.540 dolardaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Destek ise 4.323 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA, ard\u0131ndan 4.300 dolar, 4.283 dolardaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve 4.202 dolar seviyesinde bulunuyor. Ayr\u0131 olarak, D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi verilerine g\u00f6re merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi.<\/p>\n

Trading Strategies and Technical Levels<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 teyit etmek i\u00e7in 4.367 dolardaki diren\u00e7 seviyesini yak\u0131ndan izlemelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. Alt\u0131n bu e\u015fi\u011fin \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f yaparsa, 4.400 ve 4.450 dolar hedefleriyle k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak veya uzun (long) vadeli i\u015flem pozisyonlar\u0131 a\u00e7mak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu, g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u015fu anda kontrol\u00fc elinde tuttu\u011funu g\u00f6steren klasik bir \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015f yutan (bullish engulfing)\u201d formasyonu taraf\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Fed yak\u0131n zamanda faizleri %3,75-%4 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltmi\u015f olsa da, Hazine tahvili getirilerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi i\u00e7in elveri\u015fli bir zemin olu\u015fturuyor. Tarihsel makro veriler, reel getirilerde 100 baz puanl\u0131k bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 genellikle %10 ila %15 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da getirinin %4,949\u2019a gerilemesini opsiyon fiyatlamas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a \u00f6nemli k\u0131l\u0131yor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, bu ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc ili\u015fkiden yararlanmak i\u00e7in prim maliyetlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli yakalamay\u0131 sa\u011flayan call spread stratejilerini kullanabilir.<\/p>\n

Market Support and Risk Management<\/h3>\n

Ayr\u0131ca yap\u0131sal talebin son derece g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ani piyasa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerine kar\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flam bir \u201cg\u00fcvenlik a\u011f\u0131\u201d sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 unutulmamal\u0131. D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi\u2019nin son verileri, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda istikrarl\u0131 \u015fekilde 1.000 tonun \u00fczerinde alt\u0131n sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da daha geni\u015f piyasa dalgalanmalar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n dengede kalmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor. Bu \u00f6l\u00e7ekte kurumsal destek, k\u0131sa vadede 4.323 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019ya (SMA) do\u011fru olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmelerin panik nedeni de\u011fil, sa\u011flam al\u0131m f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Sermayeyi korumak i\u00e7in 4.300 dolardaki kritik destek seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar\u0131 durdur (stop-loss) veya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f tetikleyicileri yerle\u015ftirilmeli. Fiyat 4.323 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkarsa, strateji h\u0131zla yeniden konumland\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131 ve koruyucu sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak de\u011ferlendirilmelidir. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na ini\u015f, 4.283 dolardaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019ya kadar uzanabilecek bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131 kolayl\u0131kla tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda s\u00fcrpriz ralli: XAU\/USD %2\u2019yi a\u015f\u0131p 4.361$\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; zay\u0131flayan tahvil getirileri ve dolar Fed art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgeledi. 4.367$ k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 4.400\u20134.450 hedef, 4.300 alt\u0131 stop.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50089,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54149","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t