ABD hisseleri, Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gitmesinin ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckselirken, karar\u0131n hemen sonras\u0131nda volatilite geriledi ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Piyasa tepkisi, karar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ilk 24 saatlik i\u015flemler i\u00e7inde \u015fekillendi; faiz belirsizli\u011fi yerini daha net bir politika patikas\u0131na b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Dikkatler \u015fimdi, g\u00f6rece s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 volatilitenin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n ard\u0131ndan eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki VIX zirvesinin \u015fimdiden olu\u015fup olu\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u00e7evriliyor. Mevsimselli\u011fin \u00f6tesinde, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz \u00e7evresindeki ko\u015fullar\u0131 ve Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131 \u00fczerinden ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yeniden tesis edip edemeyece\u011fini izliyor; her iki cephede de istikrar sa\u011flanmas\u0131, oda\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u00e2rlara ve 4. \u00e7eyrek rallisinin temellerine yeniden kayd\u0131racakt\u0131r. IG Ba\u015f Piyasa Analisti Chris Beauchamp, d\u00f6rt y\u0131ld\u0131r \u015firkette g\u00f6rev yap\u0131yor ve BBC ile Sky News dahil finansal medyada d\u00fczenli yorumcu olarak yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Federal Rezerv\u2019in merakla beklenen eyl\u00fcl faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n nihayet geride kalmas\u0131yla, finansal piyasalarda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201crahatlama\u201d dalgas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Haftalard\u0131r bu para politikas\u0131 g\u00fcncellemesini beklemenin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fe hisse senetleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurmu\u015ftu; ancak belirsizli\u011fin ortadan kalkmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 hemen yeniden canland\u0131rd\u0131. T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler taraf\u0131nda, hisselerin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve volatilite g\u00f6stergelerinin \u015fimdiden so\u011fumaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 not edilmeli.<\/p>\n\n
Toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 bu toparlanma, tarihsel \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclerle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor; zira eyl\u00fcl, tarihsel olarak y\u0131l\u0131n en oynak ay\u0131 ve S&P 500, 1928\u2019den bu yana ortalama %1,2 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Cboe Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX) muhtemelen mevsimsel zirvesini g\u00f6rmesiyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131nda kademeli bir istikrar bekliyoruz. K\u00fcresel enerji arz hatlar\u0131 sakin kal\u0131r ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 dengelenmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse, piyasa yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc temel dinamiklere odaklanabilir.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu de\u011fi\u015fim, pahal\u0131 savunma ama\u00e7l\u0131 hedge\u2019lerden uzakla\u015fmak ve klasik bir d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek rallisine haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor. Belirsizlik azal\u0131rken, geni\u015f piyasa endekslerinde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 hedeflemenin veya volatilite spread stratejilerinden yararlanman\u0131n olduk\u00e7a etkili olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Tarihsel olarak y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131, hisse senetleri i\u00e7in en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fi olu\u015fturuyor; S&P 500\u2019\u00fcn ortalama getirisi %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fed\u2019in 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 ABD hisselerinde rahatlama rallisi: volatilite d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor, petrol geri \u00e7ekiliyor. G\u00f6zler VIX\u2019te eyl\u00fcl zirvesi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riskinde; istikrar, 4\u00c7 rallisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49991,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t