{"id":54116,"date":"2026-09-17T08:51:28","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T08:51:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fed-daha-fazla-sikilasma-sinyali-verirken-dolar-gucleniyor-boede-enflasyon-riskleri-ve-yeni-zelandada-faiz-artisi-olasiligi-yukseliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T08:51:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T08:51:28","slug":"fed-daha-fazla-sikilasma-sinyali-verirken-dolar-gucleniyor-boede-enflasyon-riskleri-ve-yeni-zelandada-faiz-artisi-olasiligi-yukseliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-daha-fazla-sikilasma-sinyali-verirken-dolar-gucleniyor-boede-enflasyon-riskleri-ve-yeni-zelandada-faiz-artisi-olasiligi-yukseliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyali verirken dolar g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; BoE\u2019de enflasyon riskleri ve Yeni Zelanda\u2019da faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fed, \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l aradan sonra ilk kez faizi oybirli\u011fiyle art\u0131rarak hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 %3,50\u2013%3,75\u2019ten %3,75\u2013%4,00\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. G\u00fcncellenen noktasal tahminler (dot plot), 18 politika yap\u0131c\u0131dan 16\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha bekledi\u011fini, sekizinin ise 2027\u2019de \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve son bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi. Profil 2028\u2019den itibaren gev\u015femeye d\u00f6n\u00fcyor ancak daha y\u00fcksek bir n\u00f6tr faiz oran\u0131nda (%3,25) sona eriyor. Fed bu ad\u0131m\u0131 \u201cbir miktar destekleyici duru\u015fu geri \u00e7ekmek\u201d olarak nitelendirerek politikan\u0131n hen\u00fcz k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti; tahminler 2029\u2019a kadar b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin potansiyelin \u00fczerinde, i\u015fsizli\u011fin denge seviyesinin alt\u0131nda ve enflasyonun %2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131 ve varl\u0131klar buna uyum sa\u011flad\u0131: k\u0131sa vadeli tahvil getirileri 7 baz puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek Temmuz 2024\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; para piyasalar\u0131 Ekim konusunda ikiye b\u00f6l\u00fcn\u00fcrken Aral\u0131k\u2019a daha yatk\u0131n, 2027 ortas\u0131na kadar iki art\u0131\u015f daha fiyatlan\u0131yor. Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, EUR\/USD 1,15\u2019in alt\u0131na gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,1466\u2019ya indi.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 Y\u00fckselen Enflasyon Tahminleriyle Kar\u015f\u0131 Kar\u015f\u0131ya<\/h3>\n

\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) karar\u0131, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019a ili\u015fkin yeni enflasyon g\u00f6stergelerini izliyor: Food and Drink Federation tahminleri g\u0131da enflasyonunun Noel\u2019e kadar %4\u2019e yak\u0131n seyredece\u011fine ve 2027\u2019de ortalama %5,5 olaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, bu oran BoE\u2019nin y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in %3,5 varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde. Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re, Ofgem\u2019in Ocak ay\u0131nda tavan fiyatlar\u0131 yeniden belirlemesiyle hanehalk\u0131 enerji faturalar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %25 artabilir; bu da 2027\u2019de man\u015fet enflasyonu %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. \u0130ngiltere para piyasalar\u0131 12 ayda 100 baz puan\u0131n biraz alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma fiyatl\u0131yor. Daily Telegraph ise y\u0131ll\u0131k niceliksel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n \u00a370 milyardan \u00a350 milyara yava\u015flamas\u0131yla 20 ve 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k giltslerde aktif sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik planlar oldu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n

Yeni Zelanda GSYH Performans\u0131 ve Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Beklentileri<\/h3>\n

Yeni Zelanda\u2019da GSYH 2026 2\u00c7\u2019de \u00e7eyreklik bazda %0,2 artarak %0,1\u2019lik beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131; 1\u00c7\u2019de art\u0131\u015f %0,9 olmu\u015ftu. Y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme %2,6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00e7eyreklik bazda %2,7 y\u00fckselirken, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k\/posta\/depolama %1,7 geriledi; perakende\/konaklama %1 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. T\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 \u00e7eyreklik bazda %0,1, sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 %1,5 artt\u0131; ihracat %3,3 y\u00fckselirken ithalat %0,8 geriledi. Bu tablo RBNZ\u2019nin Ekim\u2019de 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin ima edilen olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %50\u2019den %65\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, NZD\/USD kurunun 0,57\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed\u2019den s\u00fcrpriz \u015fahin hamle: faiz %4\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131, dot plot iki art\u0131\u015f daha i\u015faret ediyor; dolar g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. BoE\u2019de enflasyon riski, Yeni Zelanda\u2019da b\u00fcy\u00fcme RBNZ art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini %65\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50066,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t