{"id":54107,"date":"2026-09-17T05:51:31","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T05:51:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/dolar-endeksi-fedin-faiz-artisiyla-getiriler-yukselirken-ve-yatirimcilar-abd-issizlik-maasi-basvurularini-beklerken-alti-seanslik-yukselisini-surdurdu\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T05:51:31","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T05:51:31","slug":"dolar-endeksi-fedin-faiz-artisiyla-getiriler-yukselirken-ve-yatirimcilar-abd-issizlik-maasi-basvurularini-beklerken-alti-seanslik-yukselisini-surdurdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dolar-endeksi-fedin-faiz-artisiyla-getiriler-yukselirken-ve-yatirimcilar-abd-issizlik-maasi-basvurularini-beklerken-alti-seanslik-yukselisini-surdurdu\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar Endeksi, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla getiriler y\u00fckselirken ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ABD i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131 beklerken alt\u0131 seansl\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), ABD Haftal\u0131k \u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 verisi \u00f6ncesinde Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda 100,30 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek y\u00fckseli\u015fini alt\u0131nc\u0131 ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k seansa ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Dolar, Federal Rezerv\u2019in federal fonlama faizini 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %3,75\u2013%4,00 hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltmesinin ard\u0131ndan destek buldu. Bu ad\u0131m beklentilerle uyumlu olurken, \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l aradan sonra ilk art\u0131\u015f olarak kayda ge\u00e7ti. CME FedWatch arac\u0131na g\u00f6re para piyasalar\u0131, Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %49,8 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u015eahin politika sinyalleri nicel g\u00f6stergelerde de izlendi: FXS Speechtracker skoru 7\/10\u2019luk tarihsel ortalamaya kar\u015f\u0131 7,4\/10 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, FXS Fed Duyarl\u0131l\u0131k Endeksi 26,07 puan art\u0131\u015fla 151,79\u2019a y\u00fckselerek n\u00f6tr 100 seviyesinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde DXY, 50 ve 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019lar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunurken, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI 63,58 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Destek seviyeleri olarak 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 99,69 ve 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 99,64 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, 100,00 seviyesi ara destek (intermediate floor) olarak de\u011ferlendirildi. Ayr\u0131 olarak, 2022 verileri dolar\u0131n k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz i\u015flem hacminin %88\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 6,6 trilyon dolar seviyesinde seyretti\u011fini ortaya koyarken, Fed\u2019in enflasyon hedefi %2.<\/p>\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Y\u00fckseli\u015f Momentumu ve Beklenen Dolar G\u00fcc\u00fc<\/h3>\n

ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nde (DXY) 100,30 civar\u0131nda korunmas\u0131n\u0131n da i\u015faret etti\u011fi \u00fczere, Fed\u2019in %3,75\u2013%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 son 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyali vermesiyle, t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kal\u0131c\u0131 dolar g\u00fcc\u00fcne haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak, yeni bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcndeki ilk faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fu zaman birka\u00e7 haftaya yay\u0131lan rallileri tetikliyor; a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 izleyen bir ay i\u00e7inde DXY\u2019nin ortalama %3 ila %5 y\u00fckseldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Kritik Teknik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, Euro veya Avustralya Dolar\u0131 gibi daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck getirili ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131na duyarl\u0131 para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 USD\u2019de al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Para piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n Ekim\u2019de yeni bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na %49,8 olas\u0131l\u0131k bi\u00e7mesi nedeniyle, bir sonraki politika toplant\u0131s\u0131 yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a volatilitenin y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. DXY \u00fczerinde uzun call spread stratejileri, prim maliyetini abartmadan bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in cazip bir risk-getiri profili sunabilir.<\/p>\n

Endeks i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturan kritik destek seviyeleri yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli: 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 99,69 ve 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 99,64. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019\u0131n 63,58 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa ge\u00e7ici al\u0131c\u0131 yorgunlu\u011fu riskine i\u015faret ediyor; bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 ancak ge\u00e7ici hedge ama\u00e7l\u0131 daha uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Uzun pozisyonlar i\u00e7in, ani d\u00fczeltme hareketlerine kar\u015f\u0131 sermayeyi korumak ad\u0131na zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyesinin psikolojik 100,00 e\u015fi\u011finin hemen alt\u0131na konumland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nerilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

DXY, Asya\u2019da 100,30 civar\u0131nda alt\u0131nc\u0131 seans y\u00fckselerek Fed\u2019in 25 bp faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla destek buldu. Piyasalar Ekim\u2019de %49,8 art\u0131\u015f beklerken, \u015fahin sinyaller ve 99,64\u201399,69 destekleri trendi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54107","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t