{"id":54097,"date":"2026-09-16T23:52:40","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T23:52:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fedin-faizleri-artirmasi-ve-uzun-sure-yuksek-faiz-sinyali-vermesiyle-dolar-endeksi-100un-uzerine-cikti\/"},"modified":"2026-09-16T23:52:40","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T23:52:40","slug":"fedin-faizleri-artirmasi-ve-uzun-sure-yuksek-faiz-sinyali-vermesiyle-dolar-endeksi-100un-uzerine-cikti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fedin-faizleri-artirmasi-ve-uzun-sure-yuksek-faiz-sinyali-vermesiyle-dolar-endeksi-100un-uzerine-cikti\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019in faizleri art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz sinyali vermesiyle Dolar Endeksi 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dolar Endeksi %0,59 y\u00fckselerek 100,00 seviyesini a\u015ft\u0131 ve 99,70\u2019in hemen alt\u0131nda, aralar\u0131nda 0,11 puan fark bulunan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n (EMA) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Federal Rezerv, hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 12\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 0 oyla %3,75\u2013%4,00\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Projeksiyonlar yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi; 2027 sonu medyan\u0131 hazirandaki %3,6\u2019dan %4,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karken, y\u0131l sonu medyan\u0131 da %3,8\u2019den %4,1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. 18 kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n 12\u2019si 2026\u2019y\u0131 %4,125\u2019te konumland\u0131r\u0131rken, d\u00f6rd\u00fc iki ilave art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ima etti ve ikisi daha fazla s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

Endeks, bile\u015fiminden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde etkilenmeye devam ediyor: euro %57,6 paya sahip; yen ve sterlin eklendi\u011finde ilk \u00fc\u00e7 para birimi toplamda yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte d\u00f6rde ula\u015f\u0131yor; a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kland\u0131rma metodolojisi en son 1999\u2019da g\u00fcncellendi. ECB, mevduat faizini %2,50\u2019ye y\u00fckseltti; \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) karar\u0131 ise 11:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Teknik seviyelerde 100,25 ve ard\u0131ndan 100,50 diren\u00e7; 99,70 alt\u0131ndaki EMA k\u00fcmesinde destek ve daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 99,50 seviyesi izleniyor. Stoch RSI 67 civar\u0131nda; 99,50 alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 \u0130\u015fleme ve Hedef Belirleme<\/h3>\n

Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) 100,00 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerine net bi\u00e7imde yerle\u015fmesinin ard\u0131ndan, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda dolar g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn devam\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmay\u0131 t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu hareket, 99,70 civar\u0131ndaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcstel hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (EMA) a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131 ve momentuma dair g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir de\u011fi\u015fime i\u015faret ediyor. Tarihsel olarak, 2023 sonundaki \u00f6rne\u011fe benzer \u015fekilde iki ortalaman\u0131n ayn\u0131 anda k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemler, trend takip eden algoritmalar\u0131n devreye girmesiyle 3%\u20135% aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda birka\u00e7 haftal\u0131k rallilerin \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n

Opsiyon ve vadeli i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, 99,50\u201399,70 aras\u0131ndaki yeni destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131ma odaklan\u0131lmal\u0131; h\u00e2len a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde olmayan 67 seviyesindeki g\u00fcnl\u00fck Stoch RSI yak\u0131ndan izlenmelidir. Al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 veya uzun vadeli i\u015flem pozisyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in ilk yukar\u0131 hedef 100,50, ikincil hedef ise 101,00 olarak belirlenmelidir. Ancak disiplin korunmal\u0131; g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 99,50\u2019nin alt\u0131na inmesi bu y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc bozar ve derhal risk azalt\u0131m\u0131 gerektirir.<\/p>\n

Faiz Farklar\u0131ndan ve Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan Yararlanma<\/h3>\n

Geni\u015fleyen faiz farklar\u0131, maj\u00f6r pariteler \u00fczerinden de de\u011ferlendirilebilir; \u00f6zellikle endekste %57,6 gibi \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011fa sahip euro nedeniyle Euro\u2019nun (EUR\/USD) k\u0131sa pozisyonlanmas\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in faizi %3,75\u2013%4,00\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 ve 2028\u2019e kadar indirim sinyali vermemesiyle, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n %2,50 seviyesindeki faizine kar\u015f\u0131 getiri avantaj\u0131 125\u2013150 baz puan gibi geni\u015f bir aral\u0131\u011fa ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu yap\u0131sal fark, 2026\u2019ya ili\u015fkin son verilerde Euro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin yaln\u0131zca %0,2 ile t\u00f6kezlemesine kar\u015f\u0131n ABD t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n daha istikrarl\u0131 seyretmesiyle de destekleniyor.<\/p>\n

BoE\u2019nin yakla\u015fan faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131; karar, sterlinde ge\u00e7ici dalgalanmalara yol a\u00e7abilir. Di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131 da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fsa da, Fed\u2019in daha \u015fahinle\u015fen dot plot\u2019unda gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin faiz indirimi projeksiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n tamamen silinmesi, dolar\u0131n temel tarafta \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc korudu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. K\u0131sa vadeli USD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla pozisyonlanmak, yar\u0131nki merkez bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken bu \u015fahin momentumu yakalamaya imk\u00e2n tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

DXY, %0,59 art\u0131\u015fla 100\u2019\u00fc a\u015farak 50\/200 EMA \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131: Fed faizi %3,75\u20134,00\u2019a y\u00fckseltti, projeksiyonlar \u015fahin. Hedef 100,50-101; destek 99,70\/99,50\u201499,50 alt\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bozar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54097","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t