Sterlin, Fed\u2019in faizleri %3,75\u20134,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltmesinin ard\u0131ndan dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yeniden 1,3400 seviyesinin alt\u0131na geriledi; %0,68 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 91 pip kay\u0131p verdi. Orta noktaya g\u00f6re ABD politika faizi bu y\u0131l ilk kez Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Banka Faizi\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f oldu; bu da \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (BoE) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 11:00 GMT\u2019deki karar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce yakla\u015f\u0131k 17 saatlik bir yan\u0131t penceresi b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Piyasalar de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmamas\u0131na konumlanm\u0131\u015f durumda; Banka Faizi\u2019nin %3,75\u2019te kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
Banka Faizi Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019ten bu yana %3,75 seviyesinde tutuluyor ve Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (MPC) art arda be\u015f toplant\u0131d\u0131r politikay\u0131 sabit tutuyor. Da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n, Temmuz ay\u0131ndaki gibi alt\u0131 \u00fcyenin sabit tutma, \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcyenin ise art\u0131rma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olmas\u0131 bekleniyor; az\u0131nl\u0131k o d\u00f6nemde faizin derhal %4\u2019e \u00e7ekilmesini savunmu\u015ftu. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta enflasyon A\u011fustos\u2019ta beklentilere paralel olarak %3,1 oldu; art\u0131\u015f motor yak\u0131t\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. ABD\u2019de projeksiyonlar politika faizini 2026 sonu i\u00e7in %4,1 ve bir y\u0131l sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in yine %4,1 d\u00fczeyinde g\u00f6steriyor; teknik olarak diren\u00e7 1,3400\u2019de, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalama (EMA) bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k 40 pip \u00fczerinde; destek ise g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dip seviyesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 1,3350 ve 1,3300\u2019da. G\u00fcnl\u00fck Stoch RSI 16 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrederken, 1,3450 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n
Fed\u2019in g\u00f6sterge faizini bu y\u0131l ilk kez BoE\u2019nin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131yla, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n GBP\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir duru\u015fa d\u00f6nmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Pair kritik 1,3400 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda bask\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, temel strateji y\u00fckseli\u015fleri sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirmek. Bu faiz fark\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc tarihsel olarak Dolar\u2019\u0131 destekler; son on y\u0131ldaki benzer getiri ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde, kesi\u015fimin ard\u0131ndan takip eden ayda ortalama %3\u2019l\u00fck dolar kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n
BoE\u2019nin yar\u0131n faizi %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz; bu da Sterlin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu getiri dezavantaj\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirecek. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 1,3350 ve 1,3300 seviyelerini ilk a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hedefler olarak izleyerek k\u0131sa pozisyon arayabilir. Risk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in, h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 1,3440 civar\u0131nda bulunan 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n hemen \u00fczerine zarar-kes emirleri yerle\u015ftirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck Stokastik RSI 16 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrederek sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n bir miktar \u201cuzam\u0131\u015f\u201d oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etse de, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun devam edebilecek alan\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. CFTC Commitment of Traders verileri, kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 fonlar\u0131n sterlindeki net-uzun (net-long) pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; s\u00f6z konusu pozisyonlar ge\u00e7en hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k %12 geriledi. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim, kurumsal paran\u0131n Sterlin\u2019de daha derin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor ve k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki haftada beklenen geri \u00e7ekilmeyi yakalamak i\u00e7in 1,3300 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Alternatif olarak, 1,3450 \u00fczerindeki seviyelerde call spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, \u0130ngiliz politika yap\u0131c\u0131lardan gelebilecek beklenmedik \u015fahin s\u00fcrprizlere kar\u015f\u0131 korunurken prim toplamak i\u00e7in daha istikrarl\u0131 bir y\u00f6ntem sunar. 1,3450 \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lacak; b\u00f6yle bir durumda t\u00fcm k\u0131sa pozisyonlardan derhal \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neririz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla Sterlin 1,3400 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131: Dolar, BoE\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fcne ge\u00e7ti. Piyasa BoE\u2019den sabit faiz bekliyor; strateji y\u00fckseli\u015fte sat\u0131\u015f. Hedef 1,3350\u20131,3300, stop 1,3450 \u00fczeri.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50047,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t