WTI, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 100,00 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrpriz bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan geriledi. API verileri, 11 Eyl\u00fcl ile biten haftada stoklar\u0131n 7,14 milyon varil artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemde 300 bin varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, piyasa beklentisi ise 1,8 milyon varillik azal\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Bu hareket, piyasalar\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimleri tartmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u0130ran destekli Yemenli Husilerin sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131 ve bunun sonras\u0131nda Yanbu liman\u0131nda petrol y\u00fcklemelerini ask\u0131ya ald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberlerle geldi.<\/p>\n
Reuters, s\u00f6z konusu boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019e g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 4 milyon varil, yani k\u00fcresel arz\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %4\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden y\u00f6nlendirmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Rabobank, k\u00fcresel ham petrol stoklar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ve Stratejik Petrol Rezervlerinin \u201cendi\u015fe verici seviyelere\u201d yakla\u015fmas\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti. Grafiklerde WTI 100,05 dolardayd\u0131; 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (85,36 dolar) ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Bollinger orta band\u0131n\u0131n (90,05 dolar) \u00fczerinde tutundu; RSI 69 civar\u0131nda seyretti. Diren\u00e7, \u00fcst Bollinger band\u0131na denk gelen 102,75 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunurken; destek 90,05 dolarda, ard\u0131ndan 85,36 ve 77,36 dolar seviyelerinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, son d\u00f6nemde 100,00 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru g\u00f6r\u00fclen geri \u00e7ekilmeyi yap\u0131sal bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden ziyade ge\u00e7ici bir al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda beklenmedik 7,14 milyon varillik art\u0131\u015f piyasay\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtsa da, bu stok y\u00fckseli\u015finin kal\u0131c\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in resmi EIA verilerini beklemek gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak API ve EIA haftal\u0131k verileri birbirine yak\u0131n seyreder; ancak k\u00fcresel rezervlerdeki \u00e7ekilmenin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha geni\u015f \u00e7er\u00e7eve, piyasadaki bask\u0131n unsur olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki y\u00fcksek jeopolitik riske \u00f6zellikle a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verilmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz; Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalmas\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck 4 milyon varillik ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 durduruyor. Bu kesinti, h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 103 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde ortalama seyreden k\u00fcresel petrol talebinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %4\u2019\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor. Baz\u0131 yetkililer onar\u0131m\u0131n yaln\u0131zca birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn s\u00fcrece\u011fini iddia etse de, WTI\u2019\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli direncinin \u00fczerine rahatl\u0131kla ta\u015f\u0131yabilecek daha uzun bir kesintiye kar\u015f\u0131 hedge yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
ABD Stratejik Petrol Rezervlerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 370 milyon varil ile 40 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fine ve k\u00fcresel arz \u015foklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 bir \u201cg\u00fcvenlik yast\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d b\u0131rakmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyoruz. K\u00fcresel stoklar zaten azal\u0131rken, Yanbu liman\u0131nda olas\u0131 uzun s\u00fcreli bir aksama, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda fiziksel petrol piyasas\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131racakt\u0131r. Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, bu s\u0131k\u0131 arz dinamikleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131k\u00e7a ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131ndan faydalanmak amac\u0131yla al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n tercih edilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, WTI\u2019\u0131n 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Bollinger orta band\u0131 olan 90,05 dolar ya da 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama olan 85,36 dolar civar\u0131na geri \u00e7ekilmesi halinde uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n kademeli \u015fekilde kurulabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcndeyiz. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) \u015fu anda 69 civar\u0131nda; bu, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu, k\u0131sa vadede bir miktar a\u015f\u0131r\u0131la\u015fm\u0131\u015f olsa da yap\u0131sal olarak sa\u011flam kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 102,75 dolar diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n, \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 zirvelere do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareketi tetiklemesi muhtemel; bu k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m i\u00e7in pozisyonlu olmay\u0131 tercih ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde y\u00f6n yeniden yukar\u0131 m\u0131? WTI 100 dolara geriledi; API stoklar\u0131 7,14 milyon varil artt\u0131. Suudi Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 hatt\u0131 kapan\u0131nca arz riski b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc; 102,75 diren\u00e7, 90,05 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50003,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t