{"id":54067,"date":"2026-09-16T05:51:32","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T05:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/sterlin-ingiltere-tufesindeki-artisa-hazirlanirken-ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-faizi-375te-sabit-tutmasi-bekleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-09-16T05:51:32","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T05:51:32","slug":"sterlin-ingiltere-tufesindeki-artisa-hazirlanirken-ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-faizi-375te-sabit-tutmasi-bekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-ingiltere-tufesindeki-artisa-hazirlanirken-ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-faizi-375te-sabit-tutmasi-bekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE\u2019sindeki Art\u0131\u015fa Haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Faizi %3,75\u2019te Sabit Tutmas\u0131 Bekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k A\u011fustos T\u00dcFE verisi \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 06:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; bu, politika faizinin %3,75\u2019te sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) karar\u0131ndan bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nceye denk geliyor. Man\u015fet T\u00dcFE\u2019nin y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,9\u2019dan %3,1\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi, ayl\u0131k bazda ise %0,3\u2019ten sonra %0,5 gelmesi bekleniyor. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin %2,6\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,7 olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, Temmuz\u2019da ula\u015ft\u0131rma fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k %9,1 artmas\u0131 ve A\u011fustos\u2019ta kur\u015funsuz benzinin Kas\u0131m 2022\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015fmas\u0131yla birlikte enerji ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 maliyetler oda\u011fa yerle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Ofgem, Temmuz\u2019daki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Ekim\u2019den itibaren enerji fiyat tavan\u0131nda ilave %4 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 teyit etti.<\/p>\n

G\u0131da g\u00f6stergeleri de g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor: Numerator\u2019\u0131n Worldpanel verisi, 6 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e kadar olan d\u00f6rt haftada market enflasyonunu y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,3\u2019e (\u00f6nceki %2,1) y\u00fckselmi\u015f g\u00f6steriyor; FDF ise g\u0131da ve alkols\u00fcz i\u00e7ecek enflasyonunu Aral\u0131k\u2019ta %3,9, 2027\u2019de ise %6\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. BoE Temmuz\u2019da T\u00dcFE\u2019nin 2026 4\u00c7\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,2\u2019de zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Bloomberg Economics enflasyonun 2027\u2019de %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. Reuters anketine g\u00f6re 65 ekonomistin tamam\u0131 bu hafta de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklemiyor ve 57\u2019si y\u0131l sonuna kadar faizin de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; buna kar\u015f\u0131n Temmuz\u2019da 9 PPK \u00fcyesinden 3\u2019\u00fc 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 desteklemi\u015fti. Morningstar verileri, piyasalar\u0131n ilk faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 Kas\u0131m kadar erken bir tarihte fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 2027 ortas\u0131na kadar \u00fc\u00e7 art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

UK CPI ve BoE Karar\u0131 Etraf\u0131nda Sterlin i\u00e7in \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcn Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyon verisi a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken ve yar\u0131n BoE faiz karar\u0131 gelirken, sterlinde anl\u0131k volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Man\u015fet enflasyonun %3,1\u2019e ve \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin %2,7\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi beklenirken, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir s\u00fcrpriz piyasadaki Kas\u0131m faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7ekebilir. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, GBP\/USD\u2019de h\u0131zl\u0131 hareketlere pozisyon almak i\u00e7in bug\u00fcn 06:00 GMT\u2019deki a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

T\u00dcFE rakamlar\u0131 beklentilerin \u00fczerine gelirse, GBP\/USD\u2019de al\u0131m taraf\u0131na bak\u0131lmal\u0131 ve 1,3550 direncinin \u00fczerindeki olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma hedeflenmelidir. Tarihsel olarak, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019sinde %0,2\u2019lik yukar\u0131 sapma, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bahisleri g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken sterlinde 50\u201380 piplik anl\u0131k rallileri tetiklemi\u015ftir. Bu potansiyel y\u00fckseli\u015f, ortalama kur\u015funsuz benzin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 2022 sonundan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve Ofgem\u2019in enerji fiyat tavan\u0131nda bir %4\u2019l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha planlamas\u0131yla y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleri taraf\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, enflasyon beklentilerden daha zay\u0131f gelirse, GBP\/USD\u2019de yenilenen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 ile sat\u0131\u015f pozisyonuna haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131d\u0131r. Parite h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 200 periyotluk hareketli ortalamas\u0131 olan 1,3529\u2019un alt\u0131nda negatif e\u011filimle i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; zay\u0131f bir T\u00dcFE verisinde 1,3480\u2019in alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. B\u00f6yle bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, BoE\u2019nin y\u0131l sonuna kadar faizi %3,75\u2019te sabit tutaca\u011f\u0131na inanan anket kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 ekonomistlerin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun mevcut beklentileriyle de uyumlu olacakt\u0131r. <\/p>\n

BoE Oy Da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ve Opsiyon Piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00d6nemi<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyon verisinin \u00f6tesinde, sterlinin orta vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc okumak i\u00e7in yar\u0131n BoE\u2019nin oy da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na odaklanmal\u0131y\u0131z. Son toplant\u0131da \u00fc\u00e7 politika yap\u0131c\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy vermi\u015fti; bu \u015fahin muhalefette olas\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sterlin bo\u011falar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyecektir. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar opsiyon piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 da izlemeli; GBP\/USD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli z\u0131mni volatilite, arka arkaya gelen Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k makro geli\u015fmelerinin \u00f6ncesinde tipik olarak %10\u2019un \u00fczerinde s\u0131\u00e7rama e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin i\u00e7in kritik 48 saat: \u00c7ar\u015famba UK T\u00dcFE\u2019de man\u015fetin %3,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 beklenirken enerji ve g\u0131da bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Piyasalar BoE\u2019nin %3,75\u2019te kalmas\u0131n\u0131, ancak Kas\u0131m art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t