{"id":54065,"date":"2026-09-16T03:52:03","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T03:52:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fed-karari-oncesi-petrol-rallisi-surerken-abd-10-yillik-tahvil-faizi-5e-ulasinca-altin-4-285-dolara-dogru-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-16T03:52:03","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T03:52:03","slug":"fed-karari-oncesi-petrol-rallisi-surerken-abd-10-yillik-tahvil-faizi-5e-ulasinca-altin-4-285-dolara-dogru-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-karari-oncesi-petrol-rallisi-surerken-abd-10-yillik-tahvil-faizi-5e-ulasinca-altin-4-285-dolara-dogru-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi petrol rallisi s\u00fcrerken ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi %5\u2019e ula\u015f\u0131nca alt\u0131n 4.285 dolara do\u011fru geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015f ve ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n enflasyon endi\u015felerini k\u00f6r\u00fcklemesi ve Fed\u2019in ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesiyle \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde 4.285 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru geriledi. G\u00f6sterge 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisi, gev\u015femeden \u00f6nce 2007\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye olan %5,041\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; son olarak %5,00 d\u00fczeyinde 3 baz puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde art\u0131dayd\u0131. Petrol, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 baypas eden kritik bir boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, piyasalar g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Fed faiz karar\u0131na odakland\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrev fiyatlamalar\u0131, g\u00f6sterge gecelik faizde 25 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla band\u0131n %3,75\u2013%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckseltilmesine i\u015faret ediyor; CME FedWatch arac\u0131 da \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak Eyl\u00fcl politika toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u00e7eyrek puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini yakla\u015f\u0131k %92,4 olarak g\u00f6steriyor. Commerzbank, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine %5\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra g\u00fcn\u00fc 2 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla %4,99\u2019dan tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan XAU\/USD, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve Bollinger orta band\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; RSI (14) yakla\u015f\u0131k 44 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7 4.330 dolar civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 4.455 ve 4.685 dolar b\u00f6lgelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, destek 4.225 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Tarihsel Ba\u011flam<\/h3>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, 4.285 dolar \u00e7evresinde yo\u011fun sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalan alt\u0131na (XAU\/USD) t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131sa pozisyon almas\u0131n\u0131 veya sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put) sat\u0131n almas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvil getirisi %5,00 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor; bu da faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar (alt\u0131n gibi) a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazibeyi belirgin \u015fekilde azalt\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak, getiriler 2007 sonlar\u0131nda bu kritik %5 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda alt\u0131n birka\u00e7 ay boyunca yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme kazanmakta zorlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Etkisi ve Teknik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck bir boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi de yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. Bu arz kesintisi, enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak Federal Rezerv\u2019in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentileri besliyor. Bug\u00fcn CME FedWatch arac\u0131, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %92,4 g\u00f6steriyor; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine neden olabilir.<\/p>\n

Grafiklerde, alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.330 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve 44 seviyesindeki zay\u0131f G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019ne (RSI) sahip oldu\u011fu izleniyor. K\u0131sa pozisyonlarda olas\u0131 k\u00e2r realizasyonu i\u00e7in alt Bollinger band\u0131na yak\u0131n 4.225 dolar seviyesinin hedeflenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu deste\u011fin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde, daha derin ayl\u0131k dip seviyelere do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n alarm veriyor: ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131klar\u0131 %5 e\u015fi\u011finde, petrol arz \u015foku enflasyonu k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor, Fed\u2019den 25 baz puan art\u0131\u015f ihtimali %92. XAU\/USD 4.285\u2019e inerken 4.225 kritik destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50132,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t