{"id":54055,"date":"2026-09-15T22:52:17","date_gmt":"2026-09-15T22:52:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/usd-cad-fed-karari-beklenirken-ve-petroldeki-toparlanma-kazanclari-sinirlarken-iki-haftanin-zirvesine-yakin-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-09-15T22:52:17","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T22:52:17","slug":"usd-cad-fed-karari-beklenirken-ve-petroldeki-toparlanma-kazanclari-sinirlarken-iki-haftanin-zirvesine-yakin-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-cad-fed-karari-beklenirken-ve-petroldeki-toparlanma-kazanclari-sinirlarken-iki-haftanin-zirvesine-yakin-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, Fed Karar\u0131 Beklenirken ve Petroldeki Toparlanma Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 S\u0131n\u0131rlarken \u0130ki Haftan\u0131n Zirvesine Yak\u0131n Seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcst \u00fcste be\u015finci seansta da y\u00fckseldi ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Federal Rezerv (Fed) politika karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde destekli kalmas\u0131yla iki haftan\u0131n zirvesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda tutundu. Petroldeki toparlanma emtia ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019na (CAD) bir miktar destek vererek ek kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Parite g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde fazla de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6stermeyerek 1,3913 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne bir enerji \u015foku eklemesi ve enflasyonu %2 hedefi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde geri d\u00f6nd\u00fcrme \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 nedeniyle Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse tamamen fiyatlam\u0131\u015f durumda. A\u011fustos\u2019ta man\u015fet T\u00dcFE y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,4 olurken, \u00dcFE %5,4\u2019e h\u0131zland\u0131. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvil faizi %5\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak 2007\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131; Dolar da DXY\u2019nin 99,60 civar\u0131nda, iki haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretmesiyle destek buldu. WTI 100 dolar\/varil seviyesinin \u00fczerindeydi ve 21 May\u0131s\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelere yak\u0131nd\u0131; ancak CAD\u2019e gelen destek, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 ve Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) daha istikrarl\u0131 duru\u015fuyla dengelendi ve faiz fark\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 lehine kald\u0131. Teknik seviyeler olarak 1,39\u2019un d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck-orta band\u0131nda diren\u00e7, 1,3825\/30 ve 1,3730\/60 b\u00f6lgelerinde destek \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Teknik Ve T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

USD\/CAD paritesi 1,3913 ile 1,3950 aras\u0131ndaki kritik diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131rken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara k\u0131sa vadeli bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 40 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar taraf\u0131ndan da desteklenen bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc teknik tavan\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli USD\/CAD put opsiyonlar\u0131 kullan\u0131labilir. Paritenin bu b\u00f6lgeyi k\u0131ramamas\u0131 halinde, ilk destek seviyeleri olan 1,3825\u2019e do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n

Enerji Piyasas\u0131 Etkileri Ve Volatilite \u0130\u015flemi<\/h3>\n

Bu i\u015flemi dengelemek i\u00e7in, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn 100 dolar\/varil seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak 2024 ortas\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelere y\u00fckseldi\u011fi enerji piyasas\u0131na bak\u0131lmal\u0131. Kanada \u00f6nemli bir petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, bu y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131n nihayetinde Kanada Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek olu\u015fturmas\u0131 beklenir. Bu gecikme etkisinden yararlanmak ad\u0131na, emtia g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn mevcut ABD Dolar\u0131 bask\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zamanla a\u015faca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle daha uzun vadeli CAD call opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nabilir.<\/p>\n

Fed\u2019in A\u011fustos\u2019ta %3,4 T\u00dcFE ve %5,4 \u00dcFE enflasyonu nedeniyle faiz art\u0131rmaya haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda, tahvil getirileri 2007 finansal krizinden bu yana ilk kez %5\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak yakla\u015fan politika duyurusu \u00f6ncesinde ima edilen volatilite belirgin \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi\u011finden, kullan\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) USD\/CAD strangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu strateji, y\u00fcksek prim toplamay\u0131 sa\u011flarken portf\u00f6yleri her iki y\u00f6nde de ani ve sert hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi dolar g\u00fcc\u00fcyle USD\/CAD iki haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n; petrol 100$ \u00fcst\u00fc CAD\u2019i s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. 1,3913-1,3950 diren\u00e7; put, CAD call ve y\u00fcksek volde OTM strangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54055","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t