{"id":54049,"date":"2026-09-15T18:51:28","date_gmt":"2026-09-15T18:51:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/usdjpy-getiri-farkinin-daralmasiyla-700-pip-geriledi-yatirimcilar-satis-icin-duzeltme-yukselisini-izliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-09-15T18:51:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T18:51:28","slug":"usdjpy-getiri-farkinin-daralmasiyla-700-pip-geriledi-yatirimcilar-satis-icin-duzeltme-yukselisini-izliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usdjpy-getiri-farkinin-daralmasiyla-700-pip-geriledi-yatirimcilar-satis-icin-duzeltme-yukselisini-izliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USDJPY, getiri fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131yla 700 pip geriledi; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar sat\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in d\u00fczeltme y\u00fckseli\u015fini izliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

USDJPY, Elliott Wave d\u00fczeltici toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131ktan sonra 700 pipten fazla geriledi; 08.18.2026 tarihli grafikte 160,00\u2013161,00 b\u00f6lgesi civar\u0131nda sonlanan ve ((X)) dalgas\u0131 olarak etiketlenen \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 bir kar\u015f\u0131-trend tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Temmuz sonundaki dipten gelen bu rebound, ((W)) i\u00e7inde (A)-(B)-(C) zikzak yap\u0131s\u0131 olarak haritaland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimli daha geni\u015f dizilim i\u00e7in 164,056 seviyesi ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131l\u0131nma (invalidation) noktas\u0131 olarak belirlendi. Kurgu, ((X)) dalgas\u0131 bu e\u015fik alt\u0131nda tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f beklentisini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Devam hareketi 09.15.2026 tarihli grafikte geldi; USDJPY 160,364 seviyesinden k\u0131r\u0131larak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde (A) dalgas\u0131 olarak etiketlenen be\u015f dalgal\u0131 d\u00fcrt\u00fcsel (impulsive) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ba\u015flad\u0131. Hareket, alt dalgalar 1\u2019den 5\u2019e ilerlerken sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n ana aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 3. dalga s\u00fcr\u00fckledi. 157,00 civar\u0131nda 4. dalga molas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, 5. dalga fiyat\u0131 (A) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamak \u00fczere yakla\u015f\u0131k 152,50 seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Momentumu ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

152,50 seviyesine kadar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 700 piplik sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan, bask\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumunun net bi\u00e7imde tesis edildi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu d\u00fcrt\u00fcsel be\u015f dalgal\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn muhtemelen (A) dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlamas\u0131 nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u015fimdi (B) dalgas\u0131 olarak bilinen ge\u00e7ici bir d\u00fczeltme tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fine haz\u0131rlanmalar\u0131 gerekir. 155,00\u2013156,00 diren\u00e7 band\u0131na do\u011fru olas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinin yeni k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Temeller ve \u0130\u015flem Uygulamas\u0131<\/h3>\n

Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosu, Fed ile Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor. Son veriler, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin %3,62\u2019ye do\u011fru geriledi\u011fini; BoJ\u2019un \u015fahin politika ayarlamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Japonya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvili getirisinin ise %1,0 civar\u0131nda istikrar\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Getiri spread\u2019inin daralmas\u0131, tarihsel olarak yen carry trade pozisyonlar\u0131nda sert \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmeyi tetikler ve bu da parite \u00fczerinde uzun vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 canl\u0131 tutar.<\/p>\n

Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, bir sonraki ana a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 dalgay\u0131 yakalamak amac\u0131yla vade tarihleri Ekim sonu veya Kas\u0131m olacak \u015fekilde kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money) put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. USDJPY\u2019de ima edilen volatilite son d\u00f6nemde %12 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011finden, 148,00 seviyesine do\u011fru ilave bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynayan al\u0131c\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan opsiyon primleri g\u00f6rece cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Alternatif olarak vadeli i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, kar\u015f\u0131-trend tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon al\u0131p, oynak sal\u0131n\u0131mlar s\u0131ras\u0131nda sermayeyi korumak i\u00e7in 157,00 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerine s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) yerle\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USDJPY\u2019de 700+ pip \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f sonras\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi teyit: ((X)) 161 civar\u0131 bitti, (A) d\u00fcrt\u00fcs\u00fc 152,50\u2019ye indi. \u015eimdi 155-156 (B) tepki beklenir; 157 \u00fcst\u00fc stop. Fed-BoJ spread daral\u0131yor; 148 hedefli OTM putlar cazip.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50118,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t