WTI, bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nceki dalgal\u0131 seyrin ard\u0131ndan Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. G\u00f6sterge petrol 99,30-99,35 dolar band\u0131 civar\u0131nda, yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,30 art\u0131da ve en son 21 May\u0131s\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00e7ok ayl\u0131 zirveye yak\u0131n seyretti. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da arz kesintisi riskleri ana itici g\u00fc\u00e7 olmaya devam etti. Suudi Arabistan, \u0130ran s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n Irak topraklar\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flat\u0131lan \u0130HA sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak kapatt\u0131. \u0130ran destekli Husiler de Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Khamis Mushait\u2019teki bir Suudi hava \u00fcss\u00fcn\u00fc hedef al\u0131rken, Husilerin ge\u00e7en hafta Yemen\u2019in K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ve Bab el-Mendep Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irmesi; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerilimle birlikte risk primini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar diplomasi ve ABD para politikas\u0131n\u0131 da izledi. \u0130ran Y\u00fcksek Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi Sekreteri, Tahran\u2019\u0131n ko\u015fullar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lanmadan ABD ile m\u00fczakerelerin yeniden ba\u015flamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, dolar\u0131n seyri ve dolar bazl\u0131 emtialar i\u00e7in y\u00f6n tayini ad\u0131na \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc FOMC karar\u0131na odakland\u0131. Teknik tarafta WTI, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 85,39 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken 78,6% Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesi 98,57 dolar\u0131n da \u00fczerinde seyretti; RSI (14) 70\u2019e yak\u0131n, MACD ise pozitif kald\u0131. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan destek seviyeleri 98,57, 91,78, 87,01, 85,39, 82,24 ve 76,33 dolar olarak s\u0131raland\u0131.<\/p>\n
WTI ham petrol 99,30 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru bask\u0131 yaparken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun s\u00fcrmesine pozisyonlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Uzun (long) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call) veya bo\u011fa call spread\u2019leri kullanmak, jeopolitik gerilimlerin aniden gev\u015femesi halinde riski s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131rken ilave y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyelini yakalamam\u0131za imk\u00e2n verir. Piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi mevcut ortamda bu strateji \u00f6zellikle i\u015flevsel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bab el-Mendep ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz bo\u011fazlar\u0131, k\u00fcresel ticaret a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik ge\u00e7i\u015f noktalar\u0131n\u0131 kontrol etti\u011finden fiziksel arz hatt\u0131 riski y\u00fcksek seyrediyor. Enerji verileri, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan g\u00fcnl\u00fck 20 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fini ve bunun d\u00fcnyan\u0131n petrol s\u0131v\u0131 t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu bo\u011fazlarda ciddi aksama ya\u015fanmas\u0131, herhangi bir arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zla 100 dolar e\u015fi\u011finin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131na neden olabilir.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan WTI\u2019nin 85,39 dolar seviyesindeki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n belirgin \u00fczerinde kalarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini korudu\u011funu not ediyoruz. En yak\u0131n destek 98,57 dolar seviyesindeki 78,6% Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesinde bulunuyor. Fiyat\u0131n ge\u00e7ici olarak bu seviyeye geri \u00e7ekilmesi, trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnden ziyade y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 bir al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca yar\u0131nki kritik Fed faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli kalmak gerekiyor. ABD dolar\u0131ndaki hareketler emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan etkiledi\u011finden, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 stop-loss\u2019larla pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131 veya volatiliteyi i\u015flemeye y\u00f6nelik opsiyon straddle\u2019lar\u0131 kullanmas\u0131 uygun olabilir. Bu dengeli yakla\u015f\u0131m, jeopolitik risk priminden faydalan\u0131rken portf\u00f6yleri ani makroekonomik \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 daha korunakl\u0131 tutar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" WTI, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki arz riskiyle 99,3 dolara t\u0131rmand\u0131; Suudi boru hatt\u0131 ve bo\u011faz gerilimleri risk primini \u015fi\u015firiyor. G\u00f6zler FOMC\u2019de: teknikler g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, opsiyonla y\u00fckseli\u015f\/volatilite stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49963,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t