Japon yeni, ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,7 geriledi ve \u00e7o\u011fu G10 para biriminin gerisinde kalarak Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131 ve \u0130sve\u00e7 kronu ile birlikte zay\u0131f bir seyir izledi. Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n piyasalar taraf\u0131ndan tamamen fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOJ) toplant\u0131s\u0131nda.<\/p>\n
\u015eimdilik temel kataliz\u00f6rlerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Japonya d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri ve cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi (T\u00dcFE) bir sonraki planl\u0131 veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. USD\/JPY paritesinde son dip seviyeler 153 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 152 yak\u0131n\u0131nda ilave destek; 155\u2019in \u00fczerinde ise diren\u00e7 bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Japon yeninde belirgin bir zay\u0131fl\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; yen ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,7 de\u011fer kaybetti ve ba\u015fl\u0131ca G10 benzerlerine k\u0131yasla negatif ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek ve yak\u0131ndan izlenen BOJ toplant\u0131s\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131yla birlikte geliyor. Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n halihaz\u0131rda tamamen fiyatlara yans\u0131m\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 bir \u201chaberi sat\u201d (sell the fact) tepkisine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu oynakl\u0131kta yol almak i\u00e7in, USD\/JPY\u2019de 152-153 aras\u0131ndaki kritik destek b\u00f6lgesine odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Yukar\u0131 tarafta g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 155 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde net bi\u00e7imde olu\u015fmu\u015f durumda. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, bu belirgin bant s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131ndan faydalanmak i\u00e7in iron condor gibi bant i\u00e7i opsiyon stratejilerini de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Son CFTC verileri, kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 fonlar\u0131n net k\u0131sa yen pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; bu da olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine i\u015faret ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca USD\/JPY\u2019de 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen oynakl\u0131k %10,5 civar\u0131nda seyrederek, yakla\u015fan d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve T\u00dcFE verileri etraf\u0131nda sert hareket beklendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken prim maliyetlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutmak i\u00e7in 152 civar\u0131nda knock-out bariyer opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi ve cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc enflasyon verileri yakla\u015f\u0131rken, ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, 155 direncinin \u00fczerindeki olas\u0131 ani hareketleri yakalamak amac\u0131yla bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar \u00f6ncesinde oynakl\u0131k (volatilite) korumalar\u0131n\u0131 devreye almalar\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. Merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n piyasa beklentilerini kar\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 halinde olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmaya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle kat\u0131lmak i\u00e7in debit call spread stratejileri, tan\u0131ml\u0131 risk sunan bir alternatif olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Yen dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,7 gerilerken G10\u2019da zay\u0131f kald\u0131; g\u00f6zler tamamen fiyatlanan BOJ karar\u0131nda. USD\/JPY\u2019de 152-153 destek, 155 \u00fcst\u00fc diren\u00e7; ticaret verisi, T\u00dcFE volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50035,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t