Alt\u0131n, Fed karar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ncesinde 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019s\u0131 olan 4.257\u2019nin \u00fczerinde yatay bantta kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Vadeli piyasalar, a\u011fustos T\u00dcFE\u2019sinin y\u00fcksek seyretmesi ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verilerinin ard\u0131ndan faizin 25 baz puan art\u0131r\u0131larak %3,75\u2013%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. Tek seferlik bir art\u0131\u015fa noktasal grafikte (dot plot) g\u00fcvercin bir kayman\u0131n e\u015flik etmesi ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatabilir ve k\u00fcl\u00e7eyi 20 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lara, s\u0131ras\u0131yla 4.450 ve 4.540 seviyelerine y\u00f6nlendirebilir. Yetkililerin daha \u015fahin bir duru\u015f iletmesi halinde ise alt\u0131n 4.257\u2019nin alt\u0131na sarkarak 4.150\u2019yi test edebilir; ilave bask\u0131 4.070 b\u00f6lgesinde yo\u011funla\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n\n
Sterlin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk ta\u015f\u0131sa da 1,3470\u2019in \u00fczerinde tutunuyor. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) politika faizini %3,75\u2019te 6\u20133 oy da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131 beklenirken, para piyasalar\u0131 enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l sonuna kadar olas\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 ima ediyor. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda sal\u0131 ve \u00e7ar\u015famba verileri var: i\u015fsizlik %5, \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,9, man\u015fet enflasyon y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,1 ve hizmet enflasyonu %3,6 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u015eahin tonda bir \u201csabit b\u0131rakma\u201d GBPUSD\u2019yi 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 1,3550\u2019ye ta\u015f\u0131yabilir; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma ise 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 1,3440\u2019\u0131 riske atar. Bitcoin, SEC ile CFTC yetki s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 netle\u015ftirecek Senato Clarity Act oylamas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde 77.170\u2019in \u00fczerinde konsolide oluyor; 60 oyla ilerleme e\u015fi\u011finin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 78.540\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine bir hamleyi destekleyerek 80.000 ve 82.260 hedeflerini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Yasan\u0131n reddedilmesi halinde ise 76.485 ve 72.900 seviyeleri a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015fan Fed faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak alt\u0131n, faiz de\u011fi\u015fimlerine duyarl\u0131 bir barometre i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcr; beklentiler 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla faizin %3,75\u2013%4,00 band\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeyken, metalin 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131 olan 4.257 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki n\u00f6tr g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc olduk\u00e7a k\u0131r\u0131lgan. Fed\u2019den g\u00fcvercin bir ton gelmesi halinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 4.450 dolara do\u011fru yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma arayabilir; \u015fahin bir duru\u015f ise fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zla 4.150 destek seviyesine \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n\n
D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyonunun yeniden y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,1\u2019e t\u0131rmanmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi bir ortamda BoE toplant\u0131s\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131l\u0131rken Sterlin\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini tavsiye ediyoruz. \u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin %5\u2019e y\u00fckselmesine i\u015faret etmesi beklenen istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesinde \u00f6zellikle 1,3470 kritik destek seviyesi takip edilmeli. 1,3440\u2019taki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, \u015fahin tonda bir \u201csabit b\u0131rakma\u201d 1,3550\u2019ye do\u011fru toparlanmay\u0131 tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Kripto para t\u00fcrevlerinde ise yak\u0131n vadeli odak sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc, piyasalar\u0131n merakla bekledi\u011fi Clarity Act Senato oylamas\u0131 olmal\u0131. Bitcoin 77.170 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde konsolide olarak dikkat \u00e7ekici bir dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k sergiledi; ancak bu d\u00fczenleyici \u00e7er\u00e7evenin ge\u00e7memesi 72.900 dolara do\u011fru sert bir likidasyonu tetikleyebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, tasar\u0131n\u0131n gerekli 60 oyu almas\u0131 durumunda 78.540 dolardaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir atak bekliyoruz; bu da psikolojik 80.000 dolar e\u015fi\u011fini potansiyel hedef haline getirebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Bu b\u00fcy\u00fck ve birbiriyle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fen kataliz\u00f6rler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131ra\u00e7 gibi kat\u0131 risk azaltma stratejilerine \u00f6ncelik vermesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Merkez bankas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 ile kritik d\u00fczenleyici oylamalar\u0131n birle\u015fimi piyasa likiditesini azaltarak ani fiyat hareketlerini b\u00fcy\u00fctebilir. Pozisyon b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerini bu tan\u0131ml\u0131 teknik s\u0131n\u0131rlarla uyumlu hale getirerek, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar\u0131n y\u00fcksek riskli ortam\u0131nda daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 hareket edebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Volatilite kap\u0131da: Fed \u00f6ncesi alt\u0131n 4.257 \u00fcst\u00fcnde; g\u00fcvercin ton 4.450\u20134.540, \u015fahin ton 4.150\u20134.070. BoE\/veriler sterlini 1,3550\/1,3440\u2019a iter. Clarity Act, BTC\u2019de 80.000+ ya da 72.900.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t