{"id":53989,"date":"2026-09-14T13:30:49","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T13:30:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-fed-faiz-artisi-beklentilerinin-guclenmesi-ve-petrolun-100-dolarin-uzerinde-tutunmasiyla-07110-destegine-dogru-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-09-14T13:30:49","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T13:30:49","slug":"aud-usd-fed-faiz-artisi-beklentilerinin-guclenmesi-ve-petrolun-100-dolarin-uzerinde-tutunmasiyla-07110-destegine-dogru-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-fed-faiz-artisi-beklentilerinin-guclenmesi-ve-petrolun-100-dolarin-uzerinde-tutunmasiyla-07110-destegine-dogru-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ve petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunmas\u0131yla 0,7110 deste\u011fine do\u011fru geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD, ge\u00e7en hafta 0,7240 civar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayan geri \u00e7ekilmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek seans diplerinde 0,7110\u2019un hemen \u00fczerine kadar geriledi; parite son olarak 0,7128 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131, petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde konsolide olmas\u0131yla zay\u0131flarken, piyasalar \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Federal Rezerv toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 bp faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u0131l bitmeden bir hamleyi daha daha y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131kla fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu yeniden fiyatlama, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi verilerinin enflasyonun Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde seyretmeye devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n\n

Enerji piyasalar\u0131nda, arz kesintisi riskleri artarken ham petrol 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131: ticari gemilere y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 neredeyse kullan\u0131lamaz hale getirirken, \u0130ran destekli Husiler K\u00f6rfez ihracatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in kilit alternatif g\u00fczerg\u00e2h olan Bab el-Mendeb Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ablukaya alma tehdidinde bulundu. Teknik tarafta bask\u0131 0,7110 deste\u011finde yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor; 4 saatlik RSI (14) hafif a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde ve MACD s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda. 20 A\u011fustos dibi olan 0,7105 ile 2 Eyl\u00fcl dibi olan 0,7120 civar\u0131, son d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k band\u0131n taban\u0131n\u0131 ve Temmuz\u2013Eyl\u00fcl y\u00fckseli\u015finin %38,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesini i\u015faret ediyor; bu b\u00f6lgenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 0,7065\u2019i ve ard\u0131ndan %61,8 d\u00fczeltmeye denk gelen 0,7040\u2019\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Diren\u00e7 0,7187\u2019de.<\/p>\n\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, 0,7110 civar\u0131ndaki kritik destek seviyesini hedefleyerek AUD\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn devam\u0131na konumlanmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu b\u00f6lgenin net \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, 0,7065\u2019teki A\u011fustos dibine ve olas\u0131 olarak 0,7040\u2019a do\u011fru yolu a\u00e7abilir. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminden faydalanmak i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 veya k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (futures) k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 kurmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Makroekonomik S\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcler ve Risk Fakt\u00f6rleri<\/h3>\n\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak Federal Rezerv toplant\u0131s\u0131yla destekleniyor; piyasalar y\u00fcksek enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 daha bekliyor. Son ABD enflasyon verileri, fiyatlar\u0131n Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde artmaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu da ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutuyor. Tarihsel olarak Fed, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (RBA) daha h\u0131zl\u0131 faiz art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Avustralya Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flama e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n\n

Ayr\u0131ca, ham petrol 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyrederken artan enerji maliyetlerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri veya opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve Bab el-Mendeb Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tehditler nedeniyle y\u00fcklerin daha uzun rotalara y\u00f6nelmesi, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131kta ciddi gecikmelere yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Bu arz kaynakl\u0131 sorunlar, g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklerken Avustralya Dolar\u0131 gibi daha riskli para birimlerini bask\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dikkat: AUD\/USD 0,7110 deste\u011fine dayand\u0131! Petrol 100$ \u00fczeri ve Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 bozuyor. K\u0131r\u0131lma 0,7065-0,7040 hedeflerini a\u00e7abilir; 0,7187 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50026,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53989","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t