{"id":53978,"date":"2026-09-14T09:32:09","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T09:32:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-dususe-gecerken-asagi-yonlu-momentum-zayifliyor-piyasalar-15305-15430-bandini-ve-15490-direncini-izliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-09-14T09:32:09","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T09:32:09","slug":"usd-jpy-dususe-gecerken-asagi-yonlu-momentum-zayifliyor-piyasalar-15305-15430-bandini-ve-15490-direncini-izliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-dususe-gecerken-asagi-yonlu-momentum-zayifliyor-piyasalar-15305-15430-bandini-ve-15490-direncini-izliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7erken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum zay\u0131fl\u0131yor; piyasalar 153,05\u2013154,30 band\u0131n\u0131 ve 154,90 direncini izliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY 153,23\u2019e geriledi ve %0,57 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 153,54\u2019ten kapand\u0131. K\u0131sa vadeli g\u00fcn i\u00e7i e\u011filim a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde kalmaya devam ediyor; ancak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum kayda de\u011fer \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015f de\u011fil. Hareketlerin 153,05 ile 154,30 band\u0131nda yatay seyretmesi beklenirken, 154,90 ve 155,20 seviyeleri diren\u00e7 olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n

1\u20133 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde Dolar, ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana s\u00fcren negatif e\u011filimini koruyor. Bununla birlikte a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum yava\u015fl\u0131yor ve 08 Eyl\u2019de kurun 153,95\u2019e, 11 Eyl\u2019de 154,50\u2019ye i\u015faret etmi\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip seviye olan 152,08\u2019in yeniden test edilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azal\u0131yor. 154,90\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, Dolar\u0131n son d\u00f6nemdeki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n istikrar kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015feklinde yorumlanacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Yava\u015flayan Momentum Ortam\u0131nda Bant \u0130\u00e7i Stratejiler<\/h3>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7in, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara USD\/JPY\u2019de 152,00\u2013155,00 koridoruna odaklanan bant i\u00e7i stratejiler benimsemelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, 154,90 \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131nda para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) call satarak opsiyon primi toplama hedefi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. Ayr\u0131ca 152,08\u2019deki y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip seviyeye yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgelerde agresif k\u0131sa pozisyonlardan ka\u00e7\u0131nmak gerekir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc daha derin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u0131zla azal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel Formasyonlar ve Merkez Bankas\u0131 Dinamikleri<\/h3>\n

Bu temkinli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, maj\u00f6r d\u00f6viz paritelerinin kritik destek seviyelerini test ettikten sonra konsolide olma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi tarihsel i\u015flem kal\u0131plar\u0131yla da destekleniyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, son piyasa istatistikleri USD\/JPY\u2019nin bir ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatilitesinin \u00f6nceki zirvelerinden gerileyerek %9,5 civar\u0131nda dengelendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu da opsiyon piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n daha sakin bir seyri fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Buna ek olarak 152,00 civar\u0131ndaki tarihsel destek, defalarca g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131m ilgisini tetikleyerek dolar aleyhine pozisyon alanlar i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

N\u00f6trden negatife d\u00f6n\u00fck duru\u015fumuz, merkez bankas\u0131 dinamikleriyle de uyumlu: Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 politika faizini %0,25\u2019te tutarken Fed kademeli gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Faiz fark\u0131ndaki bu daralma, temelde sert dolar rallilerini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rarak 154,90 direncini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan h\u00e2line getiriyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, yatay piyasada getiri potansiyelini art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in iron condor veya bant i\u00e7i yap\u0131lar kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY 153,23\u2019e indi; g\u00fcn i\u00e7i trend zay\u0131f da olsa a\u015fa\u011f\u0131. Ancak momentum s\u00f6n\u00fcyor: 153,05\u2013154,30 bant, 154,90\/155,20 diren\u00e7. 152,08 testi zor; 154,90 \u00fczeri toparlanma sinyali. Opsiyonda 152\u2013155 band\u0131nda strateji, OTM call sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50020,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t