USD\/SGD, daha \u00f6nce 1,2630\u20131,2655 band\u0131 beklentisinin ard\u0131ndan 1,2686\u2019ya toparland\u0131 ve k\u0131sa vadeli momentumun yukar\u0131y\u0131 i\u015faret etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Diren\u00e7 1,2695 ve 1,2705 seviyelerinde katmanl\u0131; 1,2705\u2019in \u015fimdilik yak\u0131n vadeli geni\u015flemeyi s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya devam etti\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Destek ise 1,2670 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,2660\u2019ta; bu da mevcut fiyat hareketi i\u00e7in daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir taban olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k ufukta, paritenin 1,2675\u2019in \u00fczerine k\u0131rmas\u0131yla (Sal\u0131, 08 Eyl\u00fclde 1,2655 seviyesindeyken) \u00f6nceki hafif negatif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de\u011fi\u015fti; daha \u00f6nce 1,2615\u2019e do\u011fru s\u00fcz\u00fclme olarak \u00e7er\u00e7evelenmi\u015fti. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum zay\u0131flarken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 art\u0131yor; ancak kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f h\u00e2l\u00e2 1,2705\u2019in net bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim, 1,2640 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n korunmas\u0131 \u015fart\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131yken, SGD NEER\u2019in orta noktas\u0131n\u0131n rahat bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam etti\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n
USD\/SGD paritesinde, \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin yerini h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentuma b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ani bir de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, parite 1,2640\u2019taki kritik destek seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftada k\u0131sa vadeli yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filime haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bununla birlikte, 1,2705 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 bekliyoruz; bu seviyenin \u015fimdilik olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n\n
Bu toparlanma, ABD ekonomisindeki genel so\u011fuman\u0131n ortas\u0131nda geliyor. Son veriler ABD enflasyonunun yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,4 seviyesinde seyretti\u011fini ve Fed\u2019in kademeli faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. \u00d6te yandan, Singapur Merkez Bankas\u0131 (MAS) s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 duru\u015funu korudu; bu da Singapur Dolar\u0131 Nominal Efektif D\u00f6viz Kuru\u2019nun (SGD NEER) politika band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst yar\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli bi\u00e7imde kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Yerel para birimi i\u00e7in bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc politika deste\u011fi, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki olas\u0131 rallilerin zorlu bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu s\u0131k\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131ndan faydalanan stratejiler kullanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 1,2640\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, ani ters d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015flere kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flarken d\u00fczenli prim geliri \u00fcretebilir. Alternatif olarak, 1,2695 seviyesini hedefleyen bir bull call spread, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyebilecek bir k\u0131r\u0131lma i\u00e7in fazla prim \u00f6demeden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu yakalamaya imk\u00e2n tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n
2024 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki tarihsel fiyat hareketine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, USD\/SGD benzer seviyelerde seyrederken politika band\u0131n\u0131n fazla k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde paritenin momentumu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu nedenle, uzun pozisyonlarda yak\u0131n stop-loss seviyeleri korunmal\u0131; zira 1,2640\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na ani bir k\u0131r\u0131lma bu iyimser g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc tamamen ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar. \u015eimdilik 1,2640\u20131,2705 aras\u0131ndaki dar bantta kalmak, en temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131m olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/SGD\u2019de ibre d\u00f6nd\u00fc: 1,2686\u2019ya toparlanma sonras\u0131 momentum yukar\u0131. Diren\u00e7 1,2695-1,2705; kal\u0131c\u0131 ralli i\u00e7in 1,2705 \u015fart. Destek 1,2670\/1,2660; 1,2640 alt\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bozar. Opsiyonla bant stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t