USD\/CHF, ABD T\u00dcFE verilerinin Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00dcFE ile birlikte piyasalar\u0131n gelecek haftaki toplant\u0131da Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7mas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi. Parite 0,8124 ile g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dipten toparlanarak 0,8165 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 2 Eyl\u00fcl zirvesi olan 0,8156\u2019daki direncin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor ve k\u0131sa vadeli momentumu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tutuyor. 0,8200 \u00fczerindeki bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 19 Haziran 2025 zirvesi olan 0,8215\u2019in, ard\u0131ndan 4 Haziran d\u00f6ng\u00fc zirvesi 0,8250\u2019nin ve psikolojik 0,8300 seviyesinin test edilmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 0,8096\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131na bir hareket, oda\u011f\u0131 0,8009\u2019daki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya \u00e7evirecektir.<\/p>\n
0,8150 \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CHF paritesinde artan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentuma haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmas\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlara \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f, son ABD t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksinin ayl\u0131k bazda beklentilerin \u00fczerinde %0,3 artmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor; bu durum CME FedWatch Tool tahminlerinde gelecek hafta bir Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %65\u2019in \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc temel destek dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f baca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev stratejilerine \u00f6ncelik verilmesi gerekir.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, pozitif RSI momentumu ile 0,8200 ve 0,8250 hedefli kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na odaklanan bull call spread (bo\u011fa al\u0131m spreadi) stratejisini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu yap\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131rken Haziran 2025 zirvesi olan 0,8215\u2019e do\u011fru bir hareketten faydalanacak \u015fekilde konumlanmay\u0131 sa\u011flar. Tarihsel veriler, USD\/CHF\u2019nin y\u00fckselen RSI e\u015fli\u011finde yak\u0131n vadeli ayl\u0131k direncini k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, sonraki iki haftada ortalama %1,5 ile %2 aras\u0131nda y\u00fckselme e\u011filiminde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak, vadeli i\u015flemler (futures) veya CFD\u2019lerde i\u015flem yapanlar, 0,8150 destek seviyesine do\u011fru k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m yapmay\u0131 ve zarar-kes emirlerini s\u0131k\u0131 tutmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeli. Ani bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in koruyucu stoplar\u0131n 0,8096\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na yerle\u015ftirilmesini tavsiye ediyoruz. Bu seviyenin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f tezini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131larak 0,8009 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirecektir; Fed karar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131rken s\u0131k\u0131 risk y\u00f6netimi bu nedenle kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CHF, T\u00dcFE-\u00dcFE sonras\u0131 Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131yla %0,40+ y\u00fckselerek 0,8156 direncini a\u015ft\u0131. RSI g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. 0,8200 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8215-0,8250-0,8300 hedef. 0,8096 alt\u0131 0,8009 riskini art\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t