USD\/CAD Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,27 y\u00fckselerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3870 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Yeni ABD enflasyon verilerinin ard\u0131ndan g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,3882 zirvesini test eden parite, \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fe ilerledi. ABD T\u00dcFE A\u011fustos\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,4 artarak de\u011fi\u015fmedi ve beklentilerle uyumlu geldi; ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ise \u00f6nceki %0,1\u2019in ard\u0131ndan %0,4 oldu. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE ayl\u0131k %0,3 ile %0,2\u2019lik tahmini a\u015ft\u0131; ancak y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon %2,5\u2019ten %2,4\u2019e geriledi. Y\u0131ll\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde yeniden h\u0131zlanma i\u015fareti g\u00f6r\u00fclmemesiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki ilk tepki al\u0131m\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Kanada Dolar\u0131, petrol\u00fcn son zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle benzer para birimlerinin gerisinde kald\u0131: WTI, 100 dolar \u00fczerindeki sat\u0131\u015flarla birlikte %4,62 d\u00fc\u015ferek yakla\u015f\u0131k 95,90 dolara indi ve enerji ihracat\u0131na duyarl\u0131 para birimini bask\u0131lad\u0131. Teknik tarafta USD\/CAD 1,3864 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve 200 periyotluk SMA (1,3827) ile 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (1,3808) \u00fczerinde tutundu; trend \u00e7izgisi deste\u011fi yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3835 seviyesinde izleniyor. RSI (14) 76,9\u2019da. Diren\u00e7ler 1,3872 ve 1,3890\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; destekler 1,3835, 1,3827 ve 1,3808, daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 1,3760 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, piyasan\u0131n son ABD enflasyon verilerini ve d\u00fc\u015fen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 sindirdi\u011fi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CAD paritesinde artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite halihaz\u0131rda 1,3870 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,4\u2019l\u00fck ABD T\u00dcFE verisine ilk tepki ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k g\u00fcn kazan\u00e7 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde tutuyor. Bununla birlikte y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun %2,4\u2019e gerilemesi, dolar\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumunun diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n
100 dolar e\u015fi\u011fi \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flayamamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %4,62 d\u00fc\u015ferek yakla\u015f\u0131k 95,90 dolara gerileyen West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol\u00fc yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak Kanada Dolar\u0131, ham petrol ile %70\u2019in \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir pozitif korelasyon sergiliyor; bu da Kanada\u2019n\u0131n enerji ihracat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin para birimi \u00fczerinde belirgin bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u0130statistikler, petrol\u00fcn kilit psikolojik seviyelerin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 uzun soluklu geri \u00e7ekilmelerin, takip eden haftalarda Loonie\u2019nin ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ortalama %1,5 de\u011fer kayb\u0131yla sonu\u00e7lanabildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n
Saatlik G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 76,9 ile a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinin derinlerinde olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu seviyelerden mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015fi kovalamaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bunun yerine, olas\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltme geri \u00e7ekilmesinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in 1,3890 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli limit emirleri veya sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilmelidir. Tarihsel olarak USD\/CAD\u2019de saatlik RSI 75\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, parite yakla\u015f\u0131k %68 olas\u0131l\u0131kla sonraki birka\u00e7 i\u015flem seans\u0131nda 50-80 pip aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ortalamaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f niteli\u011finde bir geri \u00e7ekilme ya\u015far.<\/p>\n\n
Uzun (long) pozisyon arayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in ise 1,3835 civar\u0131ndaki kritik trend \u00e7izgisi destek b\u00f6lgesine veya 200 periyotluk basit hareketli ortalama olan 1,3827\u2019ye do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilmenin beklenmesi daha uygun olacakt\u0131r. Paritenin 1,3760 yatay taban\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc kaybetti\u011fine i\u015faret eder ve yak\u0131n vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev stratejilerini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar. Sonu\u00e7 olarak, piyasa yeni bir denge aray\u0131\u015f\u0131ndayken petrol duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek opsiyonlar ile ABD Dolar\u0131 odakl\u0131 hedge\u2019ler aras\u0131nda pozisyon dengesini kurmak kritik olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CAD 1,3870\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131; ABD T\u00dcFE sonras\u0131 dolar rallisi zay\u0131flarken petrol\u00fcn %4,62 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc CAD\u2019\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. RSI 76,9 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m; 1,3890 diren\u00e7, 1,3835-1,3827 destek izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t