Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), ABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE) verileri ve artan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Federal Rezerv\u2019in faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesinin ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde 4.320 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru geriledi. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu (BLS), man\u015fet \u00dcFE\u2019nin A\u011fustos\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %5,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi\u011fini; \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemdeki %4,8\u2019in ( %4,7\u2019den revize) \u00fczerinde ve %5,3\u2019l\u00fck piyasa beklentisini a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Ayl\u0131k bazda ise %0,4 artt\u0131. \u00c7ekirdek \u00dcFE y\u0131ll\u0131k %4,6 ile %4,3\u2019\u00fcn ( %4,2\u2019den revize) \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek beklentilere paralel gelirken, ayl\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek art\u0131\u015f %0,2 oldu. Verinin ard\u0131ndan CME FedWatch Tool, piyasalar\u0131n gelecek hafta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na %70 olas\u0131l\u0131k verdi\u011fini ( %62\u2019den y\u00fckseldi\u011fini) g\u00f6sterdi; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD T\u00dcFE verisini bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik gerilimler enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131: \u0130ran, ABD\u2019nin be\u015f \u0130ran petrol tankerini vurmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda 10 gemiye sald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131; \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu ise yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar olmas\u0131 halinde yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 t\u0131rmand\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Teknik tarafta alt\u0131n, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve Bollinger orta band\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 45 seviyesindeydi. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 4.340 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.465 ve 4.675 dolar olarak belirtilirken, destek 4.252 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) raporu a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken bug\u00fcn t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. \u00dcFE\u2019nin %5,4 ile beklentilerin \u00fczerinde gelmesi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n sert y\u00fckselmesi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, beklentiden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir T\u00dcFE verisi gelecek hafta faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kesinle\u015ftirebilir. Gelen verinin alt\u0131n\u0131 kritik desteklerinin alt\u0131na itmesi durumunda, XAU\/USD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek getiri potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n
Grafiklere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda alt\u0131n, 4.340 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkm\u0131\u015f durumda; 45 seviyesindeki G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) ise momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131dan faydalanmak i\u00e7in 4.465 dolar civar\u0131ndaki Bollinger orta \u00e7izgisine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call) spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 uygun bir strateji olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Ay\u0131 e\u011filimi s\u00fcrerse fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde 4.252 dolardaki alt Bollinger band\u0131n\u0131 test etmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Piyasan\u0131n gelecek hafta faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 %70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla fiyatlamas\u0131yla birlikte, i\u015flemleri de\u011fi\u015fen faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne g\u00f6re kurgulamak gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve jeopolitik tansiyonun y\u00fckseldi\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde\u2014H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda on gemiye y\u00f6nelik son sald\u0131r\u0131larda oldu\u011fu gibi\u2014volatilite belirgin \u015fekilde artar. Bu nedenle, yakla\u015fan Federal Rezerv toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131ndan yararlanmak amac\u0131yla uzun straddle stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor: \u00dcFE %5,4 s\u00fcrprizi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kaynakl\u0131 petrol s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %70\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. XAU\/USD 4.320\u2019ye inerken volatilite ve opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50121,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t