ABD EIA verileri, 3 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de sona eren haftada ABD \u0131s\u0131tma ya\u011f\u0131 stoklar\u0131n\u0131n 0,01 milyon varile y\u00fckseldi\u011fini ve \u00f6nceki -0,033 milyon varillik de\u011fi\u015fimi tersine \u00e7evirdi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu veri, stoklarda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir azal\u0131\u015ftan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7i\u015fe i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n
3 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de sona eren haftada ABD \u0131s\u0131tma ya\u011f\u0131 stoklar\u0131n\u0131n 33 bin varillik azal\u0131\u015ftan 10 bin varillik art\u0131\u015fa d\u00f6nmesini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Beklenmedik bu stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131, sonbahar ge\u00e7i\u015f d\u00f6nemine girerken k\u0131sa vadeli talebin bir miktar zay\u0131f seyretti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu do\u011frultuda, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u0131s\u0131tma ya\u011f\u0131 vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa vadeli uzun pozisyonlar konusunda temkinli olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Tarihsel olarak eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131, k\u0131\u015f \u0131s\u0131nma talebi \u00f6ncesinde distilat stoklar\u0131n\u0131n genellikle s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ge\u00e7i\u015f ay\u0131d\u0131r. Ancak EIA\u2019n\u0131n son verileri, ABD genel distilat yak\u0131t stoklar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 115 milyon varil civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fini ve bunun be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalaman\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %10 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Altta yatan bu yap\u0131sal s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k, son d\u00f6nemdeki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak bask\u0131layabilse de, orta vadeli piyasan\u0131n olas\u0131 ani arz kesintilerine kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcksek derecede hassas kalmaya devam etti\u011fini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu karma g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde hareket edebilmek i\u00e7in, do\u011frudan uzun vadeli i\u015flem kontratlar\u0131 yerine takvim spread\u2019leri gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131 e\u011filiminin s\u00fcrmesi halinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken, mevsimsel talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almay\u0131 da m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131lar. Ayr\u0131ca, eyl\u00fcl sonuna do\u011fru \u0131s\u0131tma ya\u011f\u0131 fiyat momentumuna ili\u015fkin g\u00fcvenilir bir \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge i\u015flevi g\u00f6rmesi nedeniyle dizel crack spread\u2019inin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" S\u00fcrpriz stok art\u0131\u015f\u0131: EIA\u2019ya g\u00f6re 3 Eyl\u00fcl haftas\u0131nda ABD \u0131s\u0131tma ya\u011f\u0131 stoklar\u0131 10 bin varil y\u00fckselerek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften d\u00f6nd\u00fc. K\u0131sa vadede talep zay\u0131f; yap\u0131sal s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k s\u00fcr\u00fcyor, takvim spread\u2019leri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50007,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53880","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t