NZD\/USD Y\u00fckseli\u015fe Ge\u00e7ti, Ancak D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f E\u011filimi S\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/p>\n
NZD\/USD Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,5850\u2019ye do\u011fru s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi, ancak i\u015flemler \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc band\u0131n i\u00e7inde kald\u0131 ve k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi devam etti. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 zay\u0131f seyrederken Brent petrol, haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki tanker sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 100 dolar\u0131n birka\u00e7 cent alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Yeni Zelanda ekonomisi \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131p y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. ABD Hazine\u2019sinin Pazartesi ba\u015flamas\u0131 beklenen tahvil geri al\u0131m program\u0131na dair hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131 bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; bu durum NZD\u2019deki ilave de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 da s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Grafiklerde parite 0,5855\u2019teki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamay\u0131 yeniden kazanmakta zorlan\u0131rken, fiyat 0,5820\u20130,5800 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonunun boyun \u00e7izgisine yak\u0131n seyretti. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) yakla\u015f\u0131k 44 seviyesindeyken MACD s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019nin \u00fczerine k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, oda\u011f\u0131 4 Eyl\u00fcl zirvesi olan 0,5900 civar\u0131na, ard\u0131ndan a\u011fustos sonundaki 0,6000 \u00e7evresindeki seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 2 Eyl\u00fcl dip seviyesi 0,5802\u2019nin alt\u0131na inilmesi 0,5765 ve 0,5740\u2019\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirirken, \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc hedef 0,5626 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda NZD\/USD paritesinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumuna paralel pozisyonlanmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131, Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in takvimsel olarak en zay\u0131f ay konumunda; son on y\u0131lda ortalama %1,8\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret ediyor. Bu mevsimsel k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k, Brent petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesiyle daha da art\u0131yor; zira \u00fclke, rafine yak\u0131t ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse tamam\u0131n\u0131 ithal ediyor ve bu durum ekonomi \u00fczerinde belirgin bir maliyet bask\u0131s\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda, 0,5750 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na (strike) odaklanan k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 0,5855\u2019teki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine yeniden \u00e7\u0131kmay\u0131 ba\u015faram\u0131yor; bu da sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 kontrol\u00fc elinde tuttu\u011funu teyit ediyor. Kritik 0,5802 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonunu do\u011frulayarak pariteyi 0,5740\u2019a do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 harekete a\u00e7\u0131k hale getirebilir.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel tahvil getirileri de izlenmeli; getiriler y\u00fckselmeye devam ederek Kiwi gibi daha riskli para birimlerine y\u00f6nelik i\u015ftah\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. ABD Dolar\u0131, Hazine\u2019nin tahvil geri al\u0131m program\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde ge\u00e7ici olarak yatay kalsa da bu duraklama, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in stratejik bir giri\u015f noktas\u0131 sunuyor. 0,5900\u2019e do\u011fru haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n, k\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flemlerde (futures) k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon a\u00e7mak veya mevcut pozisyonlar\u0131 art\u0131rmak i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Kiwi\u2019de tepki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131: NZD\/USD 0,5850\u2019ye y\u00fckselse de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 0,5802 alt\u0131 OBO\u2019yu tetikleyip 0,5740\/0,5626\u2019y\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; petrol ve mevsimsellik bask\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50786,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t