EUR\/GBP \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yatay seyretti; Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc toparlanma giri\u015fimi, 0,8599\u2019daki 100-periyot SMA\u2019n\u0131n kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131yla ivme kazanmakta zorland\u0131. \u00c7apraz 0,8588 civar\u0131nda dola\u015f\u0131rken, fiyat hareketi y\u00fckselen 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n (0,8553) ve 0,8570 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki trend \u00e7izgisi deste\u011finin \u00fczerinde kalarak \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bi\u00e7imde yap\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc korudu. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri pozitif kald\u0131: RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 58 seviyesindeydi ve MACD histogram\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n hafif \u00fczerinde seyretti; ancak 0,8600\u2019daki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ile 0,8649\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya devam etti.<\/p>\n\n
Piyasalar Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ECB\u2019nin 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatlam\u0131\u015f durumda; bu, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve euroyu desteklemesinin ard\u0131ndan, y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olacak. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k BoE\u2019nin 17 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini sabit tutmas\u0131 beklentisi yayg\u0131n; Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n mali g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler sterlini bask\u0131lad\u0131. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde bir k\u0131r\u0131lma oda\u011f\u0131 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya ta\u015f\u0131rken, 0,8570 ve 0,8553 alt\u0131na sarkma 0,8500 ve 0,8450 seviyelerini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Eyl\u00fcl ortas\u0131ndaki merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na EUR\/GBP\u2019de 0,8600 diren\u00e7 seviyesini yak\u0131ndan izlemelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite halihaz\u0131rda 0,8588 civar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 0,8599\u2019daki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama ve 0,8649\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA taraf\u0131ndan belirgin \u015fekilde s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) yakla\u015f\u0131k 58 ile n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgede kalmas\u0131 da dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanmak i\u00e7in ay\u0131 call spread gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Bu teknik tavan, piyasan\u0131n yakla\u015fan ECB politika karar\u0131na yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131yla birlikte, ayr\u0131\u015fan para politikas\u0131 patikalar\u0131yla da g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Son Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon verileri t\u00fcketici fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,2 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu da olas\u0131 ikinci tur enerji \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek ad\u0131na ECB \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tutuyor. Bu \u015fahin e\u011filimin, geri \u00e7ekilmelerde euroyu destekleyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz; bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede 0,8553 destek \u00e7izgisi civar\u0131nda k\u0131sa put pozisyonlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskin s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip bir e\u015fik olabilir.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6te yandan \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) so\u011fuyan bir ekonomiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya; son Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k verileri \u00e7eyreklik GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin yaln\u0131zca %0,2\u2019ye geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u015eahin kanattan az\u0131nl\u0131k bir kesim bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na s\u0131cak baksa da, daha geni\u015f mutabakat, k\u0131r\u0131lgan mali g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc korumak ad\u0131na faizlerin sabit tutulaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu temkinli duru\u015f sterline s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 momentum b\u0131rak\u0131rken, EUR\/GBP\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn 0,8570 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekli kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda beklenen bant hareketinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli iron condor stratejileri uygulamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu strateji, d\u00f6viz \u00e7apraz\u0131n\u0131n 0,8500\u2019daki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc taban ile 0,8600\u2019daki kuvvetli tavan direnci aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 senaryoda prim toplamaya imk\u00e2n verir. EUR\/GBP ima edilen oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, yazdan sonbahara ge\u00e7i\u015fte tarihsel olarak s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma e\u011filimi g\u00f6stermesi de dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu pozisyonlara \u015fu a\u015famada giri\u015f risk-getiri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha elveri\u015fli bir denge sunabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/GBP 0,8588\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 0,8599-0,8600 diren\u00e7, 0,8570\/0,8553 destek kritik. ECB\u2019nin 25 bp art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatland\u0131, BoE\u2019nin sabit kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Opsiyonda ay\u0131 call spread\/iron condor \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t