Sterlin bu hafta dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,35 seviyesinin rahat bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde tutundu; ge\u00e7en haftaki sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan gilt piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n istikrar kazanmas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa destek buldu. Daha sakin seyir, Maliye Bakan\u0131 John Healey\u2019nin pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk kapsaml\u0131 konu\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Healey, gelecek ayki B\u00fct\u00e7e \u00f6ncesinde mali planlar\u0131n detaylar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmaya devam etse de, mali disiplin ve mali kurallara uyum vurgusu yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Sterlin ayr\u0131ca \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey\u2019nin Hazine Komitesi\u2019ndeki ifadelerinde sergiledi\u011fi \u015fahin tondan destek ald\u0131. Bailey, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda enflasyon risklerinin \u201cyukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u00e7arp\u0131k\u201d oldu\u011funu ve bu bask\u0131lar\u0131n finansal piyasalara \u015fimdiden yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Gelecek per\u015fembe yap\u0131lacak Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (MPC) toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in beklentiler h\u00e2l\u00e2 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k ta\u015f\u0131yor; ancak oy da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fimin daha \u015fahin bir duru\u015fa i\u015faret edip etmeyece\u011fi ve eyl\u00fclde sterline ilave ivme sa\u011flay\u0131p sa\u011flamayaca\u011f\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
Sterlinin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,35 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in sa\u011flam bir zemin sunuyor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, gelecek haftaki BoE toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 hareketi yakalamak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli GBP\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelebilir. Son piyasa verileri, sterlinin bu \u00e7eyrekte dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da 1,35 taban\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 stratejiler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a g\u00fcvenilir bir destek \u00e7izgisi haline getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n
Gilt piyasas\u0131nda istikrar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi\u201410 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirilerin ge\u00e7en haftaki k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeniden %4,1 civar\u0131nda dengelenmesi\u2014Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k tahvil piyasas\u0131nda panik havas\u0131n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Maliye Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 mali kurallara ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131k mesaj\u0131n\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi bu sakinlik, sterlin bazl\u0131 varl\u0131klarda ima edilen volatiliteyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Piyasa gelecek ayki b\u00fct\u00e7eyi beklerken prim toplamak amac\u0131yla gilt vadeli i\u015flemlerinde veya GBP \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli volatilite sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Gelecek per\u015fembe MPC\u2019nin politika faizini %5,0\u2019ta sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 beklesek de, s\u00fcrpriz \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u015fahin oylar sterlinde sert bir ralli tetikleyebilir. Tarihsel MPC oy ayr\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fck az\u0131nl\u0131kta bile bir kayman\u0131n, a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 takip eden g\u00fcnlerde sterlini ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 100 ila 150 pip yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar buna, oy da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 de\u011fi\u015firse s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle daha y\u00fcksek getiri potansiyeli sunan uzun-GBP call spread yap\u0131lar\u0131 kurarak pozisyon alabilir.<\/p>\n\n
Ayr\u0131ca Bailey\u2019nin uyard\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere artan Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi de hesaba kat\u0131lmal\u0131; y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleri nedeniyle enflasyonun %2 hedefinin tekrar \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kma riski bulunuyor. Varil ba\u015f\u0131na 80 dolar civar\u0131nda dalgalanan Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131, bu arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u015foklar\u0131 \u015fimdiden fiyatlamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumda ve bu da merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n \u015fahin tonunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar jeopolitik riske kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ift y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir strateji olarak uzun sterlin pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 petrol al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla e\u015fle\u015ftirmeyi de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin, dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,35 \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunarak dikkat \u00e7ekiyor: Giltlerde istikrar ve Healey\u2019nin mali disiplin mesaj\u0131 destek verirken, Bailey\u2019nin \u015fahin uyar\u0131lar\u0131 BoE toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi ralli ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t