{"id":53810,"date":"2026-09-09T11:27:20","date_gmt":"2026-09-09T11:27:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-guvercin-ecb-faiz-artirimi-gorunumunun-odagi-fed-sikilasmasina-kaydirmasiyla-11600-yakinlarinda-tutunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-09-09T11:27:20","modified_gmt":"2026-09-09T11:27:20","slug":"eur-usd-guvercin-ecb-faiz-artirimi-gorunumunun-odagi-fed-sikilasmasina-kaydirmasiyla-11600-yakinlarinda-tutunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/eur-usd-guvercin-ecb-faiz-artirimi-gorunumunun-odagi-fed-sikilasmasina-kaydirmasiyla-11600-yakinlarinda-tutunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, g\u00fcvercin ECB faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn oda\u011f\u0131 Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131na kayd\u0131rmas\u0131yla 1,1600 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda tutunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD, euro\u2019nun d\u0131\u015f ticaret hadleri bozulmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Nisan\u2019dan bu yana olu\u015fan bant aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k orta noktas\u0131 olan 1,1600 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu diren\u00e7li g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, denklemin ABD dolar\u0131 taraf\u0131na daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k y\u00fcklerken, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde k\u0131sa vadeli makro g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm takvim kaynakl\u0131 kataliz\u00f6rler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131.<\/p>\n

ING, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor; ancak bunu \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d ve piyasalar\u0131n h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilave 50 baz puanl\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 teyit etmek i\u00e7in yetersiz olarak nitelendiriyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi takviminin \u201csakin\u201d oldu\u011fu belirtilirken, banka 1,1640\/45 direncinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma 1,1675\/80 b\u00f6lgesini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. ING\u2019nin Eyl\u00fcl sonu hedefi, beklenen Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 1,15.<\/p>\n

Euro B\u00f6lgesi Temelleri ve A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Bask\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

Euro\u2019nun \u015fu anda 1,1600 civar\u0131ndaki orta bant seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve son birka\u00e7 ayda bu seviyeden net \u015fekilde uzakla\u015fmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret hadlerindeki son gerileme dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici y\u00fckseli\u015fleri kovalamak yerine a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131ya pozisyonlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Enerji ithalat maliyetleri ve daha geni\u015f makroekonomik r\u00fczg\u00e2rlar\u0131n euro\u2019nun temel deste\u011fini a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rmaya devam etmesiyle sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl 2026 sonuna kadar 1,1500\u2019e do\u011fru bir hareketi hedeflemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden gelen son ekonomik verilerle de destekleniyor: perakende sat\u0131\u015flar %0,3 gerilerken sanayi \u00fcretimi zay\u0131f seyrini koruyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini ve faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131 lehine a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n

Bu stratejiyi uygulamak i\u00e7in, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 1,1500\u2019e yak\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli EUR\/USD sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, prim maliyetlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken 1,1645 civar\u0131ndaki kritik diren\u00e7 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde riski tavanlamak i\u00e7in ay\u0131 (bear) put spread kurabilir. 1,1640\u2019a do\u011fru olas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli s\u0131\u00e7ramalar, k\u0131sa pozisyonlara eklemek i\u00e7in optimal giri\u015f noktalar\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD 1,1600\u2019da diren\u00e7li; fakat euro temelleri zay\u0131f, g\u00f6zler dolarda. ING: ECB 25 bp g\u00fcvercin kal\u0131r; 1,1645 a\u015f\u0131lamazsa hedef 1,15. Strateji: put\/bear spread.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53810","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t