\u00c7in\u2019in ihracat\u0131 A\u011fustos\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %25 artt\u0131 ve %25\u2019lik beklentiyle uyumlu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Veri, yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 sevkiyatlar\u0131n ekonomistlerin \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc h\u0131zda geni\u015flemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ederken, ay boyunca b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye d\u0131\u015f talebin kilit katk\u0131 vermeye devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n
S\u00f6z konusu sonu\u00e7, k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f ticaret beklentilerinde s\u00fcrpriz alan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlarken, piyasalar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ko\u015fullar de\u011fi\u015ftik\u00e7e bu h\u0131z\u0131n korunup korunamayaca\u011f\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Man\u015fet rakam\u0131n tam olarak beklentiye oturmas\u0131yla birlikte, ihracat ivmesinde h\u0131zlanma ya da so\u011fumaya dair sinyal i\u00e7in dikkatler bir sonraki verilere kayabilir.<\/p>\n\n
\u00c7in\u2019in A\u011fustos ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n %25\u2019lik tahmini kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131, s\u00fcregelen jeopolitik gerilimlere ra\u011fmen \u00c7in mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik k\u00fcresel talebin son derece diren\u00e7li kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit ediyor. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veri, k\u00fcresel pandemi sonras\u0131 toparlanma d\u00f6neminde ihracat\u0131n %25,6\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 2021 sonundaki b\u00fcy\u00fck tedarik zinciri patlamalar\u0131n\u0131 da hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Bu sa\u011flam temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn, Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de daha derine ilerlerken Asya hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturdu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, FTSE China A50 endeksi \u00fczerinde \u201ckullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na yak\u0131n\u201d al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alarak \u00c7in hisselerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc maruziyet hedeflemelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ihracat verileri, bu b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli endekslerde a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek olan sanayi ve imalat hisselerinde k\u0131sa vadeli rallileri tetikleyebiliyor. Z\u0131mni volatilitenin h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda makul seviyelerde seyretmesiyle, call opsiyonlar\u0131 olas\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in cazip bir ara\u00e7 sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n
D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda, bu y\u00fcksek ihracat hacminin Renminbi \u00fczerinde de\u011ferlenme bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratmas\u0131 muhtemel. G\u00fc\u00e7lenen Yuandan faydalanmak i\u00e7in Ekim vadeli USD\/CNH sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alarak bu e\u011filimi i\u015flemeye y\u00f6nelik bir strateji \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, \u00e7ift haneli ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi; ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015flemesi ve yabanc\u0131 sermaye giri\u015flerinin artmas\u0131yla birlikte daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir kurla ili\u015fkili.<\/p>\n\n
Emtia t\u00fcrevlerinde de, \u00f6zellikle \u00c7in\u2019in sanayi faaliyetlerinden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde etkilenen bak\u0131r ve ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde net bir f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ihracat hacimleri, imalat tesislerinin y\u00fcksek kapasiteyle \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor; bu da do\u011fal olarak hammadde t\u00fcketimini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda k\u0131sa vadeli geri \u00e7ekilmelerde bak\u0131r vadeli i\u015flemlerinde uzun pozisyonlar olu\u015fturmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00c7in\u2019in A\u011fustos ihracat\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k %25 artarak beklentiye tam oturdu; d\u0131\u015f talep b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ta\u015f\u0131maya devam ediyor. Asya hisseleri desteklenirken A50\u2019de call, USD\/CNH\u2019de put ve bak\u0131rda long f\u0131rsat \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50284,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t