USD\/JPY haftaya zay\u0131f ba\u015flad\u0131; pazartesi Asya ve erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde %1\u2019den fazla gerileyerek, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc soluklanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en haftaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc derinle\u015ftirme aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girdi. Yen, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n temmuz sonundaki ilk m\u00fcdahalesinin ard\u0131ndan \u00e7ok on y\u0131ll\u0131 diplerinden toparlan\u0131yor. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) s\u00f6ylemindeki \u015fahinle\u015fme de momentumu art\u0131rarak piyasalar\u0131n eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131na neden oldu. Ekonomistlerin \u00e7o\u011fu 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir hamle beklerken, 50 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f da risk olarak fiyatlan\u0131yor; bunun yan\u0131nda, daha fazla yen-long pozisyonunu destekleyen konumlanma dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n\n
Parite, 3 A\u011fustos ile 3\u20134 Eyl\u00fcl dipleriyle ili\u015fkilendirilen 155,20 destek b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131 ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikteki \u201cfailure swing\u201de ba\u011fl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam\u0131 sinyali \u00fcretti. 139,88\u2013163,98 y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin %38,2 Fibonacci geri \u00e7ekilmesine denk gelen 154,78\u2019in de alt\u0131na inilmesi, hareketi teyit ederek 25 Ocak dibi ve %50 geri \u00e7ekilme seviyesi olan 152,00 ile 27 Temmuz 2025\u2019teki spike zirvesi 150,92\u2019yi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. G\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00f6stergeler, 10\/200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama \u201cdeath cross\u201du dahil, negatif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc koruyor. Bununla birlikte, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen g\u00fcnl\u00fck bulutun \u00fcst band\u0131 olan 154,26 b\u00f6lgesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri yava\u015flatabilir. Diren\u00e7ler 154,78 ve 155,20\u2019de izlenirken, tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinin ideal olarak 156,50\u201375 alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Di\u011fer diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 159,17, 159,35, 159,59 ve 160,00; destekler ise 154,05, 153,06, 152,26 ve 151,93 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
USD\/JPY paritesinde 155,20\u2019deki kritik deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla belirgin bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu teknik k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 152,00 seviyesine ve potansiyel olarak 150,92\u2019ye do\u011fru ilave geri \u00e7ekilmelerin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131yor. T\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, piyasa duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla yen al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 lehine d\u00f6nmesiyle birlikte kal\u0131c\u0131 yen g\u00fcc\u00fcne haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n
Son d\u00f6nem piyasa istatistikleri de bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu destekliyor. CFTC verileri, spek\u00fclatif yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n net yen-long pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 zirvelere ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ayr\u0131ca Japonya\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun %2 hedefinin istikrarl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, BoJ \u00fczerindeki bu ay 25\u201350 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tutuyor. ABD ile faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131n\u0131n, ABD dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. <\/p>\n\n
Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, yakla\u015fan politika toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde volatilitede olas\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramadan faydalanmak amac\u0131yla 152,00 seviyesini hedefleyen put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Vadeli i\u015flem veya CFD taraf\u0131nda ise 156,50 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlanan k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015flerin sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesi uygun olabilir. Bu stratejiler, riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcndeki bir sonraki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 baca\u011f\u0131 hedefleyen bir pozisyonlanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/JPY\u2019de sert sat\u0131\u015f: 155,20 deste\u011fi k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131, yen m\u00fcdahale ve BoJ\u2019un \u015fahinle\u015fmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 152,00\u2013150,92 hedefini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor; tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fleri 156,50 alt\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t