Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD T\u00dcFE verisi, a\u011fustos istihdam\u0131n\u0131n 162 bin artarak toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Fed\u2019in 16 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fekillendirmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor; faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %59\u2019a y\u00fckseldi. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir enflasyon verisi \u00e7eyrek puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 peki\u015ftirip ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken, daha zay\u0131f bir T\u00dcFE politika duraklamas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndemde tutarak dolar\u0131 bask\u0131layabilir. Tahvil getirileri y\u00fckselirken alt\u0131n 4.400\u2019e do\u011fru geriledi; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamay\u0131 (SMA) 4.350\u2019de ve 4.310 deste\u011fini izliyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, oda\u011f\u0131 4.200\u2019e \u00e7evirebilir.<\/p>\n
Avrupa\u2019da Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB), enerji maliyetlerinin enflasyonu %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde tutmas\u0131 nedeniyle per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc faizi \u00e7eyrek puan art\u0131rarak %2,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 bekleniyor; ancak aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentileri ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. EUR\/USD, 20 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA aras\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131rken 1,1600\u2019in hemen \u00fczerinde; yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc atakta 1,1710 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma, k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc bozabilir. Di\u011fer tarafta WTI ham petrol, ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve OPEC+\u2019\u0131n ekim \u00fcretimini sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle 92,00\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; grup talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tahminini g\u00fcnl\u00fck 580 bin varile indirse de. Yukar\u0131da 94,60 diren\u00e7, ard\u0131ndan 99,00 seviyesi izlenirken; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn teyidi i\u00e7in 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 80,40\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD T\u00dcFE verisi ve 16 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde alt\u0131nda sert volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda %59 seviyesindeyken, y\u00fcksek gelecek bir enflasyon verisi muhtemelen ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek alt\u0131n\u0131 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamas\u0131 olan 4.350\u2019nin alt\u0131na itebilir. Bu riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, 4.310 destek seviyesine do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak amac\u0131yla put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131; ya da daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 verilerin mevcut 4.400 seviyesinden toparlanmay\u0131 tetiklemesi halinde call al\u0131m\u0131yla pozisyonlanmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Euro taraf\u0131nda, ECB\u2019nin bu per\u015fembe politika faizini %2,5\u2019e y\u00fckseltmeye haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda 1,1600 seviyesine odaklanmak gerekiyor. Enflasyon %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam etse de Avro B\u00f6lgesi \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n %4\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na yava\u015flamas\u0131, bunun ECB\u2019nin y\u0131l\u0131n son faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Christine Lagarde\u2019dan \u015fahin bir tonun EUR\/USD\u2019yi 1,1710 bariyerine ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, ekonomik risklere yap\u0131lacak herhangi bir vurgu pariteyi 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n
Petrol piyasas\u0131nda ise WTI ham petrol\u00fcn 92,00\u2019nin \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesiyle yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentuma e\u015flik edilmesini tavsiye ediyoruz. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n petrol s\u0131v\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sini ta\u015f\u0131rken, ABD ve \u0130ran g\u00fc\u00e7leri aras\u0131ndaki deniz \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 k\u00fcresel enerji arz zinciri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ciddi bir tehdit olu\u015fturuyor. 94,60\u2019\u0131 ve potansiyel olarak 99,00 psikolojik seviyesini hedefleyen uzun pozisyonlar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 80,40\u2019\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 bir zarar-kes (stop-loss) konulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Piyasalar kilitlendi: Cuma ABD T\u00dcFE, 16 Eyl\u00fcl Fed\u2019i belirleyip faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %59\u2019da tutuyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veri dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir, alt\u0131n\u0131 4.350\/4.310\u2019a iter; zay\u0131f T\u00dcFE rahatlat\u0131r. ECB %2,5 bekleniyor; WTI 92 \u00fcst\u00fc 94,60-99 hedefli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50107,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t