Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), ABD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Bayram\u0131 tatili nedeniyle kapal\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve hacimlerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131yla Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD seans\u0131nda geriledi. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 4.381 dolara kadar sarkan ons alt\u0131n, 4.414 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken %0,35 eksideydi. Japon Yeni\u2019ndeki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131; USD\/JPY 154,40 civar\u0131nda seyrederken ay ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,30 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Dolar Endeksi (DXY) de yakla\u015f\u0131k 98,87\u2019ye gerileyerek %0,30\u2019a yak\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetti ve iki haftan\u0131n diplerine yakla\u015ft\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, daha s\u0131k\u0131 Fed faiz beklentileri ve y\u00fckselen enerji fiyatlar\u0131 k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Odak, ABD verileri ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da artan jeopolitik riskte kalmaya devam etti. A\u011fustos\u2019ta Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam 56 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 162 bin artarken, \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131 %4,1\u2019de sabit kald\u0131; bu tablo daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 endi\u015felerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. CME FedWatch, 15\u201316 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %58 olarak fiyatlad\u0131. \u0130ran tankerlerini ve Saudi Aramco\u2019nun Jazan rafinerisini i\u00e7eren bildirilen sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol\u00fcn enflasyon kanal\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndemdeydi; WTI ham petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 91 dolar civar\u0131nda, Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yak\u0131n seyretti. Teknik tarafta XAU\/USD, Bollinger orta band\u0131 olan 4.466 dolar\u0131n ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 4.536 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA (yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.350 dolar) ve alt bant (4.259 dolar) \u00fczerinde tutundu; RSI 50 civar\u0131nda, MACD ise negatif b\u00f6lgede. Destek seviyeleri 4.350, 4.259 ve 4.000 dolar civar\u0131nda; diren\u00e7ler ise 4.466, 4.535 ve 4.674 dolarda izleniyor. ABD \u00dcFE Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan T\u00dcFE Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, metalin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama olan 4.536 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle alt\u0131nda artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. XAU\/USD\u2019nin 4.414 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc mevcut tabloda k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filim a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc; bu da 4.466 dolar direncine do\u011fru olas\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Bir sonraki kritik destek olarak 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya denk gelen 4.350 dolar seviyesi hedeflenebilir; riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri kullan\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n \u00fczerindeki temel bask\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla WTI\u2019\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 91 dolar civar\u0131nda tutunmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7an artan enerji maliyetlerinden kaynaklan\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak petrol\u00fcn 90 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 seyri, t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131na h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde yans\u0131r; bu durum, k\u00fcresel tahvil getirilerini son d\u00f6nemdeki \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 zirvelerine yak\u0131n tutuyor. Y\u00fcksek getiri ortam\u0131, alt\u0131n gibi faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini belirgin bi\u00e7imde art\u0131rarak k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n
15\u201316 Eyl\u00fcl Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in piyasada %58\u2019lik faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyatlanm\u0131\u015fken, ikili (binary) sonu\u00e7 riskine kar\u015f\u0131 opsiyonlar\u0131n hedge ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu Per\u015fembe a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00dcFE ve Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanacak T\u00dcFE \u00f6ncesinde koruyucu put al\u0131m\u0131 veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc spread stratejileri, enflasyon verilerinin y\u00fcksek gelmesi halinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten faydalanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. \u00d6te yandan, Fed\u2019in bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131 konusunda piyasa bu kadar b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015fken, straddle al\u0131m\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz volatilite k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 i\u015flemeye y\u00f6nelik olduk\u00e7a k\u00e2rl\u0131 bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Piyasalar tatildeyken alt\u0131n 4.414 dolara geriledi; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yenle dolar zay\u0131f. Ancak Fed\u2019de %58 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131, 91 dolarl\u0131k petrol ve jeopolitik risk bask\u0131 kuruyor; g\u00f6zler \u00dcFE-T\u00dcFE\u2019de.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53726","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t