Avustralya dolar\u0131, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,13 y\u00fckselerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7217 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve \u00fc\u00e7 aydan uzun s\u00fcrenin en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, Avustralya\u2019da daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelen b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerini izledi; 2. \u00e7eyrek GSYH \u00e7eyreklik bazda %0,4, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,1 ile beklentileri destekleyerek bu ay i\u00e7inde RBA\u2019n\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gidece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Piyasada fiyatlamalar\u0131n daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir duru\u015fa kaymas\u0131 ve paritenin 72 ABD senti b\u00f6lgesi \u00e7evresinde tutunmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, dikkatler Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc RBA Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Andrew Hauser\u2019\u0131n yapaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalara \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6te yandan ABD dolar\u0131, beklentilerin \u00fczerinde gelen A\u011fustos tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam raporunun ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentilerini art\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen ivme kazanmakta zorland\u0131. Fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri, 16 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131r\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %62\u2019ye (istihdam verisi \u00f6ncesi %51) y\u00fckseltti; bu art\u0131\u015f, Fed Guvern\u00f6r\u00fc Christopher Waller\u2019\u0131n daha \u00f6nceki g\u00fcvercin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan gelirken, Eyl\u00fcl FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde bu haftaki \u00dcFE ve T\u00dcFE verileri yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. Teknik tarafta AUD\/USD, 0,7079 seviyesindeki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyrederken, RSI 68\u2019e yak\u0131n ve bir sonraki yukar\u0131 hedef b\u00f6lgesi 0,7275 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n
Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n 0,7217 yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131yla (\u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin zirvesi), t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentuma haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu iyimser e\u011filim, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n diren\u00e7li 2. \u00e7eyrek GSYH art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla (\u00e7eyreklik %0,4 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,1) iyi destekleniyor. Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 politika duru\u015funu korumas\u0131, yakla\u015fan toplant\u0131da yeni bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutuyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu hareketten yararlanmak i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, paraya yak\u0131n al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (call) de\u011ferlendirmesini veya 0,7275\u2019teki d\u00f6rt y\u0131ll\u0131k zirveyi hedefleyen bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019leri (bull call spread) uygulamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite, 0,7079\u2019daki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n g\u00fcvenli bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu da orta vadeli trendde al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc elinde tuttu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bununla birlikte G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 68 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fi i\u00e7in, net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli bir yatayla\u015fma beklenebilir.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n
Ayr\u0131ca ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak enflasyon verilerini, \u00f6zellikle \u00dcFE ve T\u00dcFE rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; bu veriler Fed\u2019in bir sonraki politika ad\u0131m\u0131na y\u00f6n verecek. Halihaz\u0131rda fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri, bir sonraki FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %62 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; bu oran, son ABD istihdam raporu \u00f6ncesindeki %51 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde. Bu y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yan ortamda, ABD dolar\u0131nda olas\u0131 ani toparlanmalara kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak amac\u0131yla uzun pozisyonlarda 0,7079 destek seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri yerle\u015ftirilmesini uygun buluyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" S\u00fcrpriz y\u00fckseli\u015f: AUD\/USD 0,7217\u2019ye t\u0131rmanarak 3 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc GSYH RBA faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini besliyor. Fed art\u0131r\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %62. Teknikte 0,7275 hedef, 0,7079 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50028,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t