AUD\/USD haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 0,7200 civar\u0131nda dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc zirveye yak\u0131n seyrini koruyarak May\u0131s ortas\u0131ndan bu yana en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seviyelerinde kald\u0131. Avustralya Dolar\u0131, beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve yurt i\u00e7i enflasyondaki kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasalar\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (RBA) faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131yla destek buldu. ABD Dolar\u0131 ise dikkatlerin hafta i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD enflasyon verilerine kaymas\u0131yla Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) raporuna ba\u011fl\u0131 kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekte daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; bununla birlikte ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi bir miktar destek sa\u011flayarak AUD\/USD paritesindeki y\u00fckseli\u015f alan\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131smen s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan parite, 0,6989\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA) yak\u0131n\u0131ndan tepki verdikten sonra, May\u0131s\u2013Haziran d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn %78,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesi olan 0,7186\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri yap\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor; G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 66 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, MACD histogram\u0131 da hafif pozitif b\u00f6lgede. Yukar\u0131da diren\u00e7, 0,7272\u2019deki \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvede bulunuyor; bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, ilave y\u00fckseli\u015fler i\u00e7in alan a\u00e7abilir. 0,7186\u2019n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde destekler 0,7118, ard\u0131ndan 0,7070 civar\u0131 ve 0,7023 seviyelerinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD paritesinin kritik 0,7200 seviyesi etraf\u0131nda konsolide oldu\u011funu g\u00f6zlemlerken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin s\u00fcrmesine pozisyon almas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn temel dayana\u011f\u0131, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) ile ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) aras\u0131ndaki belirgin politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r. Avustralya\u2019da son T\u00dcFE enflasyonunun %3,8 seviyesinde inat\u00e7\u0131 kalmas\u0131 ve RBA\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 b\u00f6lgede %4,35\u2019te tutmas\u0131yla, getiri avantaj\u0131 giderek Avustralya Dolar\u0131 lehine kay\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f kurgusundan faydalanmak i\u00e7in opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, ba\u015faba\u015f seviyeye yak\u0131n al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 veya 0,7272\u2019deki \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirveye yak\u0131n hedef kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019lerini (bull call spread) de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken spot fiyatlar\u0131n %78,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesi olan 0,7186\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde sa\u011flam \u015fekilde tutunmas\u0131yla yukar\u0131 potansiyeli yakalamam\u0131za olanak tan\u0131r. Tarihsel olarak RSI\u2019\u0131n 66 seviyesine yak\u0131n seyrederken MACD\u2019nin pozitif olmas\u0131, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman k\u0131r\u0131lma \u00f6ncesinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131na i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n
Vadeli i\u015flemler yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, 0,7180 destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmelerde uzun pozisyon olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131; %61,8 d\u00fczeltme seviyesi olan 0,7118\u2019in hemen alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilimler ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na ge\u00e7ici \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d deste\u011fi sa\u011flamaya devam etse de, temel makro dinamikler Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekliyor. \u00d6zellikle yakla\u015fan ABD enflasyon verilerinin ilave so\u011fuma i\u015faretleri vermesi halinde, bu teknik konsolidasyon s\u00fcrecinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" AUD\/USD 0,7200\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: RBA\u2019n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi ve inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyon AUD\u2019u destekliyor. 0,7186 \u00fcst\u00fc korunurken hedef 0,7272; ABD T\u00dcFE ve jeopolitik riskler y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50026,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53706","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t