USD\/JPY, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc erken a\u011fustos diplerinden gelen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 toparlanmay\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ramamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan haftaya zay\u0131f ba\u015flad\u0131; kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k etkenler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlarken 156,00 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Yen, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin daha \u015fahin bir yeniden fiyatlama ve olas\u0131 resmi m\u00fcdahale endi\u015felerinin yeniden canlanmas\u0131yla destek buldu. Piyasalar 17\u201318 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k BoJ faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatlarken, aral\u0131kta da devam ad\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in alan g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; ABD dolar\u0131ndaki sakin seyir de parite \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
ABD taraf\u0131nda, cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc beklentileri a\u015fan Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 15\u201316 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltirken, y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini besledi. Buna ra\u011fmen, per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE) ve cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) \u00f6ncesinde dolar pozisyonlanmas\u0131 temkinli kald\u0131. Artan ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fmelerden kaynaklanan jeopolitik risk dolar endeksine bir miktar destek verirken, ABD\u2019de \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Bayram\u0131 tatiline ba\u011fl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck likidite hareketleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir; odak 155,30\u2013155,20 alt\u0131na olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmada. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, parite 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 158,46\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini koruyor; 155,30\u2013155,25 ilk destek b\u00f6lgesi konumunda.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/JPY oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz; parite 156,00 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda tutunmakta zorlan\u0131yor. BoJ\u2019un 17\u201318 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki toplant\u0131s\u0131 kritik bir g\u00fcndem maddesi ve piyasalar 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu \u015fahin ivme, Japonya\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun iki y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n %2,0 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
ABD cephesinde, Fed\u2019in 15\u201316 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in yakla\u015fan T\u00dcFE ve \u00dcFE a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemeliyiz. Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 istihdam verileri ABD\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini canl\u0131 tutsa da, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu enflasyon verileri \u00f6ncesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck pozisyon almaktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131yor. Bu veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 takiben g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek sert fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in straddle gibi k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varil petrol\u00fcn ge\u00e7i\u015fine ev sahipli\u011fi yapan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki jeopolitik gerilimler, ABD dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenli liman deste\u011fi sa\u011flamaya devam ediyor. Teknik olarak, parite 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamas\u0131 olan 158,46\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine k\u0131r\u0131p bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kalmad\u0131k\u00e7a agresif uzun pozisyonlardan ka\u00e7\u0131nmal\u0131y\u0131z. Bunun yerine, kurun 155,20\u2013155,30 band\u0131ndaki kritik yatay destek b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131na net bi\u00e7imde sarkmas\u0131 halinde k\u0131sa pozisyon aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girilmesi daha uygun olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/JPY 156 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131: BoJ\u2019un eyl\u00fclde 25 bp art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve m\u00fcdahale endi\u015fesi yeni destek sa\u011flarken, Fed\/NFP ve jeopolitik riskler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Kritik destek 155,20\u2013155,30; 158,46 alt\u0131nda trend negatif.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50086,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t