Kanada dolar\u0131, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 korudu. USD\/CAD, 1,3765\u2019teki iki haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden tepki verdikten sonra 1,3800\u2019\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Buna ra\u011fmen \u201cloonie\u201d haftay\u0131 %0,7\u2019lik kazan\u00e7la kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken, USD\/CAD haftal\u0131k grafi\u011finde her iki \u00fclkeden gelecek A\u011fustos istihdam piyasas\u0131 verileri \u00f6ncesinde \u201cay\u0131 yutan\u201d (bearish engulfing) mum formasyonu olu\u015fuyordu. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca, ABD-\u0130ran aras\u0131nda yeniden alevlenen sald\u0131r\u0131lar ve tehditlerin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmesinin ard\u0131ndan Kanada\u2019n\u0131n kilit ihracat kalemi olan petrol\u00fc de izliyordu.<\/p>\n
Brent, hafta genelinde yakla\u015f\u0131k %6,5 y\u00fckselerek Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 96,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki bir bu\u00e7uk ay\u0131n zirvelerini g\u00f6rd\u00fc; Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ise 94,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi. Bloomberg konsens\u00fcs tahminine g\u00f6re Kanada\u2019n\u0131n A\u011fustos\u2019ta 15 bin istihdam eklemesi beklenirken, ABD\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n Temmuz\u2019daki 23 binlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 56 bin artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Dikkatler ayr\u0131ca gelecek haftaki T\u00dcFE verisi ve Fed\u2019in politika sinyallerine \u00e7evrildi. New York Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 John Williams, enflasyonun yava\u015f\u00e7a a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyretti\u011fini ve mevcut politika faizlerinin ekonomi i\u00e7in uygun bir seviyede bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. G\u00fcncellemede ayr\u0131ca 12:10 GMT itibar\u0131yla unvan\u0131 New York Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak d\u00fczeltildi.<\/p>\n
4 Eyl\u00fcl 2026 itibar\u0131yla USD\/CAD haftal\u0131k grafi\u011finde 1,3800 seviyesi civar\u0131nda olu\u015fan \u201cay\u0131 yutan\u201d mum formasyonu, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir teknik tabloya i\u015faret ediyor. Bu formasyon tarihsel olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131ya i\u015faret etti\u011finden, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n USD\/CAD\u2019de k\u0131sa pozisyonu ya da CAD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Parite son iki haftan\u0131n dip seviyesi olan 1,3765\u2019in alt\u0131na sarkarsa, 1,3650 destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ivmelenme g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n
Loonie\u2019nin g\u00fcc\u00fc, artan jeopolitik gerilimlerin tetikledi\u011fi Brent petrol\u00fcndeki %6,5\u2019lik s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n 96,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 hareketle \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde destekleniyor. Petrol 94,00 dolar civar\u0131na s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmi\u015f olsa da, enerji t\u00fcrevleri yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 olas\u0131 yeni arz \u015foklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 ham petrolde uzun call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 hedge ama\u00e7l\u0131 kullanabilir. Petrol oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, i\u00e7 veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 dalgalansa bile Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Kanada\u2019da istihdam\u0131n 15 bin artmas\u0131 beklenirken, bu verinin ge\u00e7mi\u015fte b\u00fcy\u00fck ve beklenmedik fiyat hareketleri yaratma e\u011filimi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurulmal\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, a\u00e7\u0131klama \u00f6ncesinde CAD \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda \u201cstraddle\u201d stratejisi kurarak potansiyel oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrpriz gelmesi halinde CAD\u2019in sert de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 ve k\u0131sa vadeli CAD call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek getiri potansiyeli sunmas\u0131 olas\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD taraf\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n 56 bin art\u0131\u015fa toparlanmas\u0131 beklense de, dolar\u0131n ilk tepki olarak s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Fed\u2019in bir sonraki faiz ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 okumak i\u00e7in gelecek haftaki kritik T\u00dcFE verisine odaklan\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, \u00e7ok k\u0131sa vadede USD i\u00e7in bant i\u00e7i (range-bound) t\u00fcrev stratejilerine odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131; gelecek hafta T\u00dcFE kaynakl\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 koruma (hedge) al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesi \u00f6nerilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrol rallisi ve istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesi USD\/CAD\u2019de teknik alarm: 1,3800 civar\u0131nda \u201cay\u0131 yutan\u201d formasyon. Loonie haftay\u0131 %0,7 art\u0131da kapat\u0131rken 1,3765 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,3650 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53649","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t