GBP\/USD ikinci seansta da y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydetti ancak kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmekte zorland\u0131; \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,3500\u2019lerin ortas\u0131nda tavan yapt\u0131. Fiyat hareketi, Fed\u2019in politika g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in kritik bir g\u00f6sterge olan ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) raporu \u00f6ncesinde zay\u0131f kald\u0131. Veri \u00f6ncesi pozisyonlanma, Dolar\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn bir haftay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin dibine do\u011fru ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 telafi etmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olarak parite \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015ftururken; ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin yeniden t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerginlik, g\u00fcvenli liman talebini destekledi.<\/p>\n
Ayn\u0131 zamanda, Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimaline y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin azalmas\u0131 ve daha yumu\u015fak ABD tahvil getirileri, Dolar\u2019daki olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131 ve GBP\/USD \u00fczerindeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n kontrol alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda parite, 4 saatlik grafikte 200 periyotluk Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA) ve Temmuz-A\u011fustos rallisinin %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalarak s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa pozitif bir e\u011filimi korudu. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 50\u2019nin hemen \u00fczerinde seyrederken, MACD sinyal \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerinde kalarak pozitif b\u00f6lgede kald\u0131. Destekler 1,3525, ard\u0131ndan 1,3490 ve 1,3476 seviyelerinde izleniyor; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 1,3428 ve 1,3359 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Diren\u00e7ler ise 1,3584 ve 1,3681 seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn, 4 Eyl\u00fcl 2026 itibar\u0131yla, ekonomistlerin yakla\u015f\u0131k 145 binlik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisini yak\u0131ndan takip ediyoruz. Bu kritik i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verisi, Fed\u2019in bir sonraki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz indirim patikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcp s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeyece\u011fini belirleyecek. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, NFP sonras\u0131 ilk volatilite yat\u0131\u015fmadan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta GBP\/USD paritesi, 1,3490\u2019daki 200 periyotluk Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde tutunuyor. \u0130stihdam verisinin beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 halinde, 1,3584\u2019teki ilk diren\u00e7 band\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, beklentilerin belirgin \u00fczerinde gelecek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri, pariteyi 1,3476 civar\u0131ndaki %50 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye s\u00fcr\u00fckleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu temkinli duru\u015f, 2026\u2019n\u0131n genel e\u011filimiyle de uyumlu: \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE), yap\u0131\u015fkan hizmet enflasyonuyla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri g\u00f6rece y\u00fcksek bir seviyede, %4,25\u2019te tutuyor. Bu parasal ayr\u0131\u015fma tarihsel olarak Sterlin\u2019i Dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda destekleyerek orta vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 pozitif k\u0131l\u0131yor. Sermaye riskini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken istikrarl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmeden faydalanmak i\u00e7in bo\u011fa al\u0131m (bull call) spread stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da artan jeopolitik gerilimlerin Brent petrol\u00fcn\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 82 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemek gerekiyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda olas\u0131 ani bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f, g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nlendirebilir. Bu riske kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta boyunca 1,3400 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 civar\u0131nda ucuz, paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n elde tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" NFP \u00f6ncesi GBP\/USD 1,35\u2019te solukland\u0131: Fed beklentileri, ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi ve g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131 fiyat\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Teknikte 200 SMA \u00fcst\u00fc pozitif; 1,3584\/1,3476 kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53643","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t