{"id":53605,"date":"2026-09-03T20:26:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-03T20:26:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/sterlin-pmi-verilerinin-hayal-kirikligi-yaratmasinin-ardindan-dolar-karsisinda-dengelendi-odak-ingiltere-merkez-bankasi-yetkililerinin-aciklamalarina-kaydi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-03T20:26:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T20:26:16","slug":"sterlin-pmi-verilerinin-hayal-kirikligi-yaratmasinin-ardindan-dolar-karsisinda-dengelendi-odak-ingiltere-merkez-bankasi-yetkililerinin-aciklamalarina-kaydi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-pmi-verilerinin-hayal-kirikligi-yaratmasinin-ardindan-dolar-karsisinda-dengelendi-odak-ingiltere-merkez-bankasi-yetkililerinin-aciklamalarina-kaydi\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, PMI Verilerinin Hayal K\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Yaratmas\u0131n\u0131n Ard\u0131ndan Dolar Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Dengelendi; Odak \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 Yetkililerinin A\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na Kayd\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Scotiabank\u2019\u0131n K\u00fcresel FX Stratejisi ekibi, sterlinin ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda genel olarak de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fini ve GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3493 seviyesinde bulundu\u011funu; ancak Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n nihai hizmetler ve bile\u015fik PMI verilerinin 50\u2019lerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck band\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret ederek makro anlat\u0131ya fazla katk\u0131 sa\u011flamamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 sterlinin \u00e7o\u011fu G10 para birimi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hafif geriledi\u011fini belirtti. Piyasalarda politika ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 fiyatlanmaya devam etmesiyle, dikkatler bug\u00fcn TS\u0130\u2019ye g\u00f6re 18.00\u2019de (ET 11.00) konu\u015fmas\u0131 beklenen BoE Ba\u015fekonomisti Huw Pill\u2019e, yar\u0131n ise Ba\u015fkan Andrew Bailey\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) 17 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik faiz beklentileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131rken, piyasalar yaln\u0131zca 4 baz puanl\u0131k bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma fiyatl\u0131yor. 5 Kas\u0131m toplant\u0131s\u0131 ise 18 baz puan ima ediyor ve 28 Ekim\u2019deki h\u00fck\u00fcmetin Sonbahar B\u00fct\u00e7esi\u2019nin ard\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanacak Enflasyon Raporu ve g\u00fcncellenmi\u015f tahminlerle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geliyor. Scotiabank ayr\u0131ca, bu hafta g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2013ABD getiri farklar\u0131n\u0131n sterlini desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ekledi. Grafik taraf\u0131nda banka, GBP\/USD\u2019yi n\u00f6trden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimli olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131; RSI\u2019\u0131n yatayla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak 50\u2019nin alt\u0131nda, 40\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ayr\u0131ca 1,3500\u20131,3450 band\u0131n\u0131n destek olarak izlendi\u011fini; Haziran\u2019dan bu yana s\u00fcren y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin ise korunmaya devam etti\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Yak\u0131n Vadeli \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

GBP\/USD paritesinin kritik 1,3493 seviyesi \u00e7evresinde seyretti\u011fi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m benimsemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. BoE\u2019nin 17 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yaln\u0131zca 4 baz puanl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n fiyatlanmas\u0131, yak\u0131n vadede faiz kaynakl\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Son Hizmet PMI verilerinin 50\u2019lerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck band\u0131nda \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret etmesi, ekonomik ivmenin istikrarl\u0131 oldu\u011funu ancak yak\u0131n vadede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 tetikleyecek kataliz\u00f6r\u00fcn zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fruluyor.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan k\u0131sa vadede n\u00f6trden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimli bir kurulum g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f b\u00f6lgesi say\u0131labilecek 40\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda seyrediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 1,3450\u20131,3500 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki kilit destek seviyelerini yak\u0131ndan izleyerek \u201crange\u201d odakl\u0131 opsiyon stratejilerini (\u00f6r. iron condor) de\u011ferlendirebilir. Bununla birlikte, Haziran\u2019dan bu yana daha geni\u015f trendin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011fu unutulmamal\u0131; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla 1,3450 taban\u0131na do\u011fru olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeler, daha uzun vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in daha uygun maliyetli giri\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 sunabilir.<\/p>\n

Orta Vadeli Oynakl\u0131k ve Olay Riski<\/h3>\n

Daha ileriye bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, piyasalar\u0131n \u015fu an 18 baz puanl\u0131k hareket fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 5 Kas\u0131m politika toplant\u0131s\u0131 etraf\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Bu faiz karar\u0131, tarihsel olarak \u00f6nemli bir piyasa oynat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olan 28 Ekim tarihli kritik Sonbahar B\u00fct\u00e7esi\u2019nin (Autumn Statement) ard\u0131ndan gelecek. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, maliye politikas\u0131 ve yeni enflasyon tahminleri netle\u015firken olu\u015fmas\u0131 muhtemel dalgalanmalardan faydalanmak i\u00e7in daha uzun vadeli volatilite pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (\u00f6r. straddle) de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin sakin, g\u00f6zler BoE\u2019de: GBP\/USD 1,3493\u2019te yatay kal\u0131rken zay\u0131f PMI sonras\u0131 G10\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 geriledi. Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 4 bp fiyatlan\u0131yor; teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm n\u00f6tr-d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, 1,3450\u20131,3500 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49969,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53605","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t