EUR\/USD, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde 1,1590 civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda seans\u0131n ilerleyen saatlerinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD A\u011fustos ISM Hizmet PMI verisi ile Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc gelecek ABD tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls) verisi bulunuyor. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh, enflasyonun %2\u2019ye ikna edici bi\u00e7imde yakla\u015fmamas\u0131 halinde politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya gitmesinin gerekebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. CME FedWatch ise Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Warsh\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde %40\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131ndayken %62,3\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Jeopolitik ba\u015fl\u0131klar da g\u00fcndemde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc: Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n muhtemelen k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylerken H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ABD kontrol\u00fcnde oldu\u011funu yineledi; Mohsen Rezaei ise Washington\u2019un yak\u0131nda Tahran\u2019\u0131n sava\u015f i\u00e7in \u201cyeni stratejisini\u201d g\u00f6rece\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Avrupa taraf\u0131nda ECB politika yap\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 Gabriel Makhlouf, enflasyonun \u201cyanl\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nde hareket etmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131\u201d durumunda merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n ilave faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131nmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Joachim Nagel de piyasalar\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %95\u2019in \u00fczerinde fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Teknik tarafta parite 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 1,1565\u2019in \u00fczerinde tutunurken, RSI 51,80 seviyesinde ve g\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 civar\u0131nda bir pivot olu\u015ftu; ancak fiyat, Bollinger orta band\u0131 olan 1,1605 civar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Diren\u00e7 1,1708\u2019de i\u015faretlenirken, destek de 1,1500 \u00e7evresinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD paritesi 1,1590 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda defansif ve dolar lehine bir duru\u015f benimsemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla ABD\u2019nin g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesi artarken, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek bulmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, 2019\u2019daki b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol tesisi kesintileri gibi K\u00f6rfez\u2019de jeopolitik s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fme d\u00f6nemleri, sermayeyi h\u0131zla Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden ABD varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nlendirebilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn ABD A\u011fustos ISM Hizmet PMI verisi ve yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kritik tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi \u00f6ncesinde piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. CME FedWatch arac\u0131n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %62,3 olarak fiyatlamas\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, beklentiden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri EUR\/USD\u2019de sert bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 tetikleyebilir. ISM Hizmet endeksi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret eden kritik 50 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde gelirse, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc yakalamak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli EUR\/USD put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 hedeflemeliyiz.<\/p>\n
ECB yetkililerinden gelen \u015fahin s\u00f6ylem ve Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %95 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmesine kar\u015f\u0131n, Euro\u2019nun yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleri nedeniyle belirgin bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Brent petrol son d\u00f6nemde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolara do\u011fru toparland\u0131; bu durum, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olan Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret hadlerini tarihsel olarak olumsuzla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 %10\u2019luk bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 milyarlarca art\u0131rabildi\u011fini ve bunun tek para \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan Euro i\u00e7in ana savunma hatt\u0131 olarak 1,1565\u2019teki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Bu seviyenin net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Bollinger band\u0131 olan 1,1500\u2019e do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye kap\u0131 aralayabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 1,1605 diren\u00e7 seviyesine do\u011fru olu\u015fabilecek ge\u00e7ici y\u00fckseli\u015fler, yeni EUR\/USD k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Kritik veri ve jeopolitik riskler EUR\/USD\u2019yi 1,1590\u2019da kilitledi. Fed\/ECB \u015fahinli\u011fiyle Eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlan\u0131yor. 1,1565 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1500 g\u00fcndemde; 1,1605 alt\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t