Sterlin, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, GBP\/USD paritesi ABD\u2019den gelen karma nitelikli ekonomik verilerin ard\u0131ndan ivme kaybetti. A\u011fustosta i\u015f aktivitesindeki gerileme Dolar\u2019\u0131n momentumunu s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131 ve seans boyunca fiyat hareketi bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Parite en son 1,3540 seviyesinde, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,06 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kotasyonland\u0131. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle \u015fahin Fed patikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler s\u00fcrerken; bu zemin, Ba\u015fkan Warsh\u2019\u0131n tonuyla da uyumlu seyrederek GBP\/USD\u2019de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD paritesi 1,3540 seviyesi civar\u0131nda konsolide olurken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede bant i\u00e7i bir piyasaya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Karma ABD g\u00f6stergeleri ve \u015fahin bir Fed\u2019in belirsizli\u011fi canl\u0131 tutmas\u0131 nedeniyle, k\u0131sa vadeli ima edilen volatilitenin bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 muhtemel. Paritenin bir sonraki ana y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc belirlemesini beklerken prim erimesinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in iron condor veya short strangle opsiyon stratejilerinin de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, \u015fahin bir Fed ortam\u0131nda gelen karma ABD verileri, GBP\/USD bir ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatiliteyi %7,8 ile %8,5 band\u0131na yak\u0131n seviyelerde bask\u0131l\u0131 tutmu\u015ftur. Ayr\u0131ca, ABD 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisinin h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda %4,30\u2019un \u00fczerinde diren\u00e7li seyretmesi, Dolar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel taban olu\u015fturarak Sterlin\u2019de belirgin y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131yor. Getiri seviyeleri yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; olas\u0131 ilave y\u00fckseli\u015flerin Sterlin\u2019i kritik 1,3400 destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 beklenebilir.<\/p>\n
Eyl\u00fcle derinle\u015ftik\u00e7e, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Warsh\u2019tan gelebilecek ani bir \u015fahinle\u015fmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money) GBP put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 da de\u011ferlendirmesi gerekir. Benzer s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerine ili\u015fkin ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler, i\u015f aktivitesi zay\u0131flarken istihdam s\u0131k\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Dolar\u2019\u0131n zamanla yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Pozisyon boyutlar\u0131n\u0131n muhafazak\u00e2r tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 ve ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz volatilite geni\u015flemesinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in esnek kal\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin dar bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: GBP\/USD 1,3540\u2019ta %0,06 gerilerken karma ABD verileri Dolar\u2019\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. \u015eahin Fed beklentisi y\u00fckseli\u015fi t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor; 1,3400 kritik. Iron condor\/short strangle g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49995,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t