EUR\/USD, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya erken i\u015flemlerinde hafif y\u00fckselerek 1,1620\u20131,1622 band\u0131 civar\u0131nda seyretti. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019un Jackson Hole\u2019da \u015fahin tondaki konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ra\u011fmen ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Piyasalar, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Euro B\u00f6lgesi a\u011fustos \u00f6nc\u00fc Uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019ne (HICP) odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Almanya\u2019da Destatis, a\u011fustosta T\u00dcFE enflasyonunu y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,9 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 (temmuz: %2,8). Ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ise %0,8\u2019den %0,2\u2019ye yava\u015flarken %0,3\u2019l\u00fck beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini bir kez art\u0131rd\u0131 ve 10 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yeniden faiz art\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor; gelecek y\u0131l ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentileri de s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n
ABD taraf\u0131nda ise Warsh\u2019un, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun %2 hedefine geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden emin olmamalar\u0131 halinde \u201cyapacak i\u015fleri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan eyl\u00fcl i\u00e7in faiz beklentileri g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Ayr\u0131 olarak Scotiabank, Warsh\u2019un a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n temmuz FOMC sonras\u0131 olu\u015fan alg\u0131lanan belirsizli\u011fin ard\u0131ndan beklentileri yeniden \u00e7er\u00e7evelemeyi ama\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Teknik tarafta parite, 1,1600\u2019deki 20 periyot Bollinger orta band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ve 1,1570 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde bulunuyor; RSI (14) yakla\u015f\u0131k 57 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7 1,1713 civar\u0131nda, destek seviyeleri ise 1,1600, yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,1570 ve 1,1488 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Euro B\u00f6lgesi HICP verisini de\u011ferlendirirken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n EUR\/USD\u2019de 1,1600 seviyesindeki yak\u0131n destek taban\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemesi gerekiyor. Parite h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 1,1620 ile bu seviyenin hemen \u00fczerinde tutunurken, 1,1570\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma otomatik sat\u0131\u015f stoplar\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Tarihsel olarak eyl\u00fcl, parite i\u00e7in en oynak aylardan biri olup son on y\u0131lda ortalama %1,8 mutlak ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fim sergiledi.<\/p>\n\n
ECB\u2019nin 10 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de faiz art\u0131rma ihtimali ve Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019un ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyali g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, uzun volatilite stratejilerinin uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Eyl\u00fcl sonuna vadeli at-the-money straddle al\u0131mlar\u0131, y\u00f6n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z sert hareketlerden yararlanmay\u0131 sa\u011flar. Opsiyon piyasas\u0131ndaki son fiyatlamalar, z\u0131mni volatilitenin yukar\u0131 k\u0131p\u0131rdanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da kritik politika kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde prim al\u0131m\u0131na dayal\u0131 stratejileri daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00f6nc\u00fc HICP verisi beklentiden daha s\u0131cak gelir ve Almanya\u2019daki %2,9\u2019luk art\u0131\u015fa paralel ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse, 1,1713\u2019teki \u00fcst Bollinger band\u0131na do\u011fru bir hareket bekliyoruz. Y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon arayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken bu diren\u00e7 seviyesini hedeflemek i\u00e7in bull call spread kullanabilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 1,1570 destek b\u00f6lgesinin korunamamas\u0131, 1,1488 civar\u0131ndaki alt Bollinger band\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen koruyucu put al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 gerek\u00e7elendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/USD 1,1620\u2019de tutunuyor: G\u00f6zler bug\u00fcn Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00f6nc\u00fc HICP\u2019de. Almanya T\u00dcFE %2,9; ECB faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sinyali, Fed\u2019den \u015fahin Warsh ile volatilite ve 1,1600 deste\u011fi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t