USD\/SGD, daha dar bir i\u015flem band\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren \u00f6nceki de\u011ferlendirmeyi bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kararak 1,2754\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Singapur Dolar\u0131 Nominal Efektif D\u00f6viz Kuru (S$NEER) orta noktas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam ederken, parite yak\u0131n vadede \u201cn\u00f6tr\u201d olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde i\u015flemlerin 1,2705\u20131,2780 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenirken, ana diren\u00e7 1,2780 seviyesinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Son 24 saatte daha \u00f6nce 1,2695\u20131,2725 band\u0131 i\u015faret edilmi\u015fti; ancak New York seans\u0131ndaki hareket pariteyi yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. \u0130lave y\u00fckseli\u015f alan\u0131 bulunsa da, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn 1,2725 ile 1,2765 aras\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; 1,2765 \u00fczerindeki olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n dahi 1,2780\u2019i eri\u015filebilir k\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenmiyor. Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k perspektifte, 28 A\u011fustos\u2019ta spotun 1,2710 seviyesinde bulundu\u011fu d\u00f6nemde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve 1,2730 \u00fczerinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, 1,2754\u2019e uzanan y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00f6ncesinde \u00f6nceki negatif duru\u015fun yerini daha n\u00f6tr bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme b\u0131rakmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n
USD\/SGD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminden n\u00f6tr banda ge\u00e7i\u015fle birlikte, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bant i\u00e7i stratejilere y\u00f6nelmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Iron condor gibi para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) opsiyonlar\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda beklenen 1,2705\u20131,2780 band\u0131ndan getiri elde etmeyi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131lar. K\u0131sa vadeli g\u00fcn i\u00e7i i\u015flem yapanlar ise 1,2765 direncine yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgelerde sat\u0131\u015f, 1,2725 civar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m f\u0131rsatlar\u0131na odaklanmal\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu n\u00f6tr g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, orta noktas\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,3 \u00fczerinde seyreden Singapur Dolar\u0131 Nominal Efektif D\u00f6viz Kuru (S$NEER) taraf\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131n besledi\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir S$NEER, \u00f6zellikle Singapur\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun bu y\u0131l ortalama %2,5 civar\u0131nda seyretmesiyle birlikte, SGD taraf\u0131ndaki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 diren\u00e7li tutar. Bu yerel ekonomik g\u00fc\u00e7, USD\/SGD paritesinde g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n h\u0131zla ivme kaybedebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc, Fed\u2019in son faiz indirimleri nedeniyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Fed, son on iki ayda politika faizini toplam 100 baz puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu faiz fark\u0131, 1,2780\u2019deki ana diren\u00e7 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor. 1,2780\u2019e do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 ralliler, s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleriyle USD sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc f\u0131rsatlar olarak de\u011ferlendirilmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/SGD s\u00fcrpriz y\u00fckseli\u015fle 1,2754\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131: g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm n\u00f6tr, bant hedefi 1,2705\u20131,2780. S$NEER deste\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, Fed indirimleri dolar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; 1,2780 ana diren\u00e7, ralli sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53459","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t