Bitcoin ve alt\u0131n, son kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc geri \u00e7ekildi. BTC, 81.500 dolara do\u011fru bir hamlenin ard\u0131ndan yeniden 80.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131; 81.000\u201382.000 dolar arz band\u0131ndan ise iki haftadan k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde ikinci kez ret yedi. Teknik g\u00f6stergeler y\u00fcksek seviyelerde kalmaya devam etti: RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 78\u2019de seyrederken MACD pozitif b\u00f6lgede kald\u0131, ancak yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde kritik seviyeler olarak 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 72.069 dolar; ard\u0131ndan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA civar\u0131ndaki 68.694 dolar ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 68.360 dolar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n da geriledi; XAU\/USD, a\u011fustostaki 4.697 dolarl\u0131k zirvesinden %3\u2019l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 4.600 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyat hareketi 4.580 dolar \u00e7evresinde yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131rken, yak\u0131n destek olarak 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019da 4.364 dolar, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019da 4.336 dolar ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019da 4.315 dolar izleniyor; daha derin bir d\u00fczeltme ise 4.267 dolar b\u00f6lgesi etraf\u0131nda \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor. Wyoming\u2019deki Jackson Hole Ekonomik Politika Sempozyumu\u2019nda yap\u0131lan politika de\u011ferlendirmelerinde Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh, ABD\u2019de y\u00fcksek seyreden enflasyona at\u0131fta bulunarak daha y\u00fcksek faiz olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 masada tuttu; ancak ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck y\u00f6nlendirme vermedi.<\/p>\n
Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n Jackson Hole\u2019daki \u015fahin duru\u015funun ard\u0131ndan, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda hem Bitcoin hem alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda artan volatilite ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 bekliyoruz. Tarihsel olarak eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131, riskli varl\u0131klar i\u00e7in y\u0131l\u0131n en zay\u0131f ay\u0131d\u0131r; Bitcoin, son on y\u0131lda ortalama %4,5 gerileme kaydetmi\u015ftir. T\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d endi\u015felerinin ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fi bir ortamda daha defansif bir piyasa ko\u015fuluna haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Bitcoin\u2019in 80.000 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda zorlanmas\u0131 ve G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 78 ile a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131na i\u015faret etmesi nedeniyle, koruyucu put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 72.000 dolar civar\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 hedeflemek, mevcut spot portf\u00f6yleri maliyet-etkin \u015fekilde hedge etmenin bir yolunu sunuyor. Alternatif olarak, 82.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131, beklenen yatay\/konsolidasyon d\u00f6neminde prim toplamaya imk\u00e2n verir.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131nda ise 4.580 dolara geri \u00e7ekilme g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, y\u00fckselen tahvil getirilerinin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 makro r\u00fczg\u00e2r k\u0131sa vadeli negatif pozisyonlar\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. 4.364 dolardaki destek seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmak i\u00e7in alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda bear put spread kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 tercih ediyoruz. Bu strateji, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 riskini s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131rken emtian\u0131n sempozyum sonras\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi durumunda k\u00e2r potansiyeli sunar.<\/p>\n
Para politikas\u0131 beklentilerindeki ani de\u011fi\u015fim dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 sert dalgalanmalarda likidasyon riskini azaltmak i\u00e7in kald\u0131ra\u00e7 oranlar\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019un yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi kritik olacak; yakla\u015fan toplant\u0131lara ili\u015fkin faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerinin sert bi\u00e7imde dalgalanmas\u0131 muhtemel. Pozisyon boyutlar\u0131n\u0131 muhafazak\u00e2r tutmak ve geni\u015f stop-loss seviyeleriyle hareket etmek, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 haftan\u0131n dalgal\u0131 seyrinde risk y\u00f6netimine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Piyasalar Jackson Hole sonras\u0131 sallan\u0131yor: Bitcoin 80 bin alt\u0131na inerken RSI 78\u2019le a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m sinyali veriyor; alt\u0131n 4.600 alt\u0131nda. \u015eahin Fed, eyl\u00fclde volatilite; put hedge, call sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, bear spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53393","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t